Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.34
assuming max odds 1.71
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Local): 41.57%; Mary Stoiana (Visit): 58.43%. For Mary Stoiana (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.711. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.710, with an expected value of -0.079%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -4.17%E -2.54%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-24 08:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.58%E -2.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-23 19:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.75%E -2.92%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-24 08:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.23%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.75%E -2.92%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-24 09:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -6.06%E -2.68%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -6.51%E -4.07%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-24 04:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-24 04:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.26%E -5.26%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-24 04:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.89%E -3.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.34%E -3.29%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-24 04:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.51%E -4.07%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-24 04:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -9.43%E -6.08%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-24 07:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -10.63%E -4.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -0.079%E -0.046%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-23 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.63%E -4.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.26%E -5.26%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-24 04:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.71%E -6.05%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.42%E -1.45%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-24 04:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-06-24 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-06-24 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-06-24 09:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-06-24 09:50 |