Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Magdalena Frech v Anna Kalinskaya

Início: 2026-06-29 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Previsão 32.04%3.12odd justa
EV -1.00%
Vantagem -0.324%
Kelly -0.480%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.15%32.09%31.95%33.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.852.962.983.0935.09%33.80%33.56%32.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)

Previsão 67.96%1.47odd justa
EV -2.81%
Vantagem -1.97%
Kelly -6.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.74%67.91%68.05%68.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.361.391.401.4373.53%71.74%71.43%69.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Magdalena Frech (Local): 32.04%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante): 67.96%. Para Magdalena Frech (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.12. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.09, com valor esperado de -1.00%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.64%EV -1.00%E -0.324%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.36%EV -2.81%E -1.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-29 16:09
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.28%E -0.749%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.49%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.28%E -0.749%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 16:10
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.28%E -0.749%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 16:10
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.28%E -0.749%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 16:10
Pinnacle🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -2.92%E -0.965%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.17%E -2.96%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.49%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 16:10
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:09
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Dabble (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:10
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:10
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:20
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:09
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.89%E -5.03%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 16:09
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.57%E -5.57%K -21.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 16:10
GTbets🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -4.21%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 15:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.53%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.53%E -3.98%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:10
DraftKings🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.53%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.53%E -3.98%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.81%E -1.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.49%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 16:30
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.53%E -3.98%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.53%E -3.98%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.89%E -5.03%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 15:59
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.49%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.49%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 16:10
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.49%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 16:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.17%E -2.96%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 16:30
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:10
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:10
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:10
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:10
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:10
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 16:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.57%E -5.57%K -21.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 16:10
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 16:20
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.57%E -5.57%K -21.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 16:09
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.05%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.05%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 16:10
NordicBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -8.37%E -2.93%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:30
Betsson🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -8.37%E -2.93%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:30
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.69%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.49%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-06-29 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-06-29 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-06-29 16:21
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-06-29 16:30
ProphetX3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-06-29 16:21
Novig3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%2.4%2026-06-29 16:20
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-06-29 16:30