L’École des cotes

Magdalena Frech v Anna Kalinskaya

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Prévision 32.04%3.12cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.324%
Kelly -0.480%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.15%32.09%31.95%33.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.852.962.983.0935.09%33.80%33.56%32.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anna Kalinskaya (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.96%1.47cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -1.97%
Kelly -6.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.74%67.91%68.05%68.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.391.401.4373.53%71.74%71.43%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.09I 32.36%NM 31.64%EV -1.00%E -0.324%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.36%EV -2.81%E -1.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-29 16:09
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.28%E -0.749%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.49%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-29 16:10
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.28%E -0.749%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 16:10
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.28%E -0.749%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 16:10
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.28%E -0.749%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 16:10
Pinnacle3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -2.92%E -0.965%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.17%E -2.96%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 16:10
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.49%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 16:10
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:09
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Dabble (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:10
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:10
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 16:20
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:09
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.89%E -5.03%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 16:09
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.57%E -5.57%K -21.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 16:10
GTbets2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -4.21%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 15:59
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.53%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.53%E -3.98%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:10
DraftKings2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.53%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.53%E -3.98%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:30
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.81%E -1.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.49%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 16:30
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 16:10
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.53%E -3.98%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.53%E -3.98%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 16:10
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:10
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:10
MyBookie.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:10
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.89%E -5.03%K -18.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 15:59
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.49%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.49%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 16:10
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.49%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 16:10
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.17%E -2.96%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 16:30
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:10
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:10
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:10
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:10
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:10
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:09
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:10
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 16:10
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.21%E -4.50%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 16:09
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.57%E -5.57%K -21.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 16:10
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 16:20
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.57%E -5.57%K -21.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 16:09
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.05%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.05%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 16:10
NordicBet2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -8.37%E -2.93%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:30
Betsson2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -8.37%E -2.93%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -4.85%E -3.47%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:30
theScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.69%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.49%E -2.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-06-29 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-06-29 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-06-29 16:21
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-06-29 16:30
ProphetX3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-06-29 16:21
Novig3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%2.4%2026-06-29 16:20
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-06-29 16:30