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Maddison Inglis v Lucia Bronzetti
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maddison Inglis (Local)
assuming max odds 1.88
Lucia Bronzetti (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.05
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maddison Inglis (Local): 52.69%; Lucia Bronzetti (Visit): 47.31%. For Maddison Inglis (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.88, with an expected value of -0.936%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -0.936%E -0.498%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.70%E -4.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.86%E -2.94%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -3.57%E -1.95%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -13.43%E -7.34%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.10%E -2.25%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.49%E -1.71%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.02%E -1.47%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-23 03:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.15%E -2.86%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-23 03:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -6.21%E -3.49%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -8.70%E -4.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-23 10:18 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.44%E -2.20%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.26%E -4.12%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.39%E -2.69%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.81%E -3.45%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.39%E -2.69%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-23 03:28 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -8.70%E -4.51%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-23 10:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39% | 3.6% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |