Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.30
assuming max odds 3.88
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lulu Sun (Local): 74.38%; Oceane Dodin (Visit): 25.62%. For Oceane Dodin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.88, with an expected value of -0.613%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -3.30%E -2.54%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -8.55%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-23 19:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.30%E -2.54%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.35%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-24 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.04%E -3.13%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.66%E -0.701%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-23 19:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.04%E -3.13%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -16.75%E -5.15%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-24 04:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.19%EV -4.79%E -3.74%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.81%EV -0.613%E -0.158%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 07:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.53%E -4.36%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.94%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-24 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.53%E -4.36%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -6.76%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-24 04:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.71%EV -5.53%E -4.36%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.29%EV -8.81%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-24 04:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.28%E -4.98%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-24 04:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -7.02%E -5.62%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.07%E -2.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-24 04:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.02%E -5.62%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.35%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-23 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -7.76%E -6.26%K -32.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -12.91%E -3.80%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-24 09:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -9.99%E -8.26%K -47.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -6.50%E -1.78%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-24 08:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-06-24 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-06-24 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-06-24 09:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-06-24 08:50 |