Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lulu Sun v Linda Klimovicova

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 10:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lulu Sun (Local)

Prediction 65.42%1.53fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -6.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.53%65.36%65.48%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.421.421.4872.99%70.19%70.42%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Linda Klimovicova (Visit)

Prediction 34.58%2.89fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%34.64%34.52%35.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.732.752.8038.46%36.57%36.36%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lulu Sun (Local): 65.42%; Linda Klimovicova (Visit): 34.58%. For Linda Klimovicova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -3.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.18%E -2.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.56%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 06:49
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.80%E -4.03%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.17%E -1.13%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 03:29
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.80%E -4.03%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.90%E -1.78%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 03:29
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.80%E -4.03%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.40%E -3.59%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 05:58
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.80%E -4.03%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.40%E -3.59%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 03:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -6.45%E -4.51%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.54%EV -6.29%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 06:10
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.17%E -1.13%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 03:29
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.17%E -1.13%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 03:29
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.17%E -1.13%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 07:09
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.90%E -1.78%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 06:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.41%E -6.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.17%E -1.13%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-23 07:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.41%E -6.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -5.25%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-23 03:28
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.49%EV -10.38%E -7.57%K -28.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.51%EV -10.09%E -3.88%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 07:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.8%2026-06-23 05:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.8%2026-06-23 05:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.8%2026-06-23 05:40
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%2.5%2026-06-23 05:39