La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Liudmila Samsonova v Marie Bouzkova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Liudmila Samsonova (Local)
Predicción 40.43%2.47momio equitativo
EV +3.11%
Ventaja +1.22%
Kelly +2.00%
Crecimiento +0.062%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.84%40.53%40.51%45.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.342.352.5548.78%42.72%42.55%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Marie Bouzkova (Visitante)
Predicción 59.57%1.68momio equitativo
EV +1.26%
Ventaja +0.742%
Kelly +1.80%
Crecimiento +0.023%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.67%59.47%59.49%62.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.571.571.7068.03%63.52%63.69%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV +3.11%E +1.22%K +2.00%G +0.062% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -5.89%E -3.73%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.09%E +0.434%K +0.724%G +0.008% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.08%E -4.54%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.09%E +0.434%K +0.724%G +0.008% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV +0.277%E +0.112%K +0.187%G +0.001% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -10.06%E -6.66%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV +0.277%E +0.112%K +0.187%G +0.001% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -10.06%E -6.66%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV +0.277%E +0.112%K +0.187%G +0.001% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -10.06%E -6.66%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV +0.277%E +0.112%K +0.187%G +0.001% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -10.06%E -6.66%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV +0.277%E +0.112%K +0.187%G +0.001% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -10.06%E -6.66%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -0.128%E -0.052%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -0.532%E -0.216%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -0.936%E -0.382%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.65%E -7.10%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -1.75%E -0.718%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -8.27%E -5.37%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -1.75%E -0.718%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -8.27%E -5.37%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -1.75%E -0.718%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -10.65%E -7.10%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -1.75%E -0.718%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -10.65%E -7.10%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.29%E -3.33%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.08%E -4.54%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 10:04 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.27%E -5.37%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.77%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.77%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 10:08 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.77%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.77%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.77%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -3.77%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.03%EV -9.46%E -6.22%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -3.77%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -10.06%E -6.66%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Bally Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -3.77%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -10.06%E -6.66%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -3.77%E -1.58%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -12.44%E -8.46%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.98%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 10:12 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.98%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 10:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.98%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 10:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.98%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.89%E -3.73%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 10:08 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.98%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.89%E -3.73%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.19%E -2.67%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.89%E -3.73%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 10:01 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.60%E -2.86%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.10%E -2.55%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 09:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.00%E -3.04%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.91%E -1.78%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.00%E -3.04%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.00%E -3.04%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 10:04 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.00%E -3.04%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 09:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.00%E -3.04%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.00%E -3.04%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.00%E -3.04%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| ReBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -7.41%E -3.23%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -1.12%E -0.675%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 09:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.02%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.72%E -1.04%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.02%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.72%E -1.04%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 10:08 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.02%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 10:14 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.02%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.10%E -2.55%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 10:14 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.02%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.02%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.02%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.02%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.27%E -5.37%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -10.24%E -4.61%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV +0.071%E +0.042%K +0.104%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 10:07 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -11.04%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV +1.26%E +0.742%K +1.80%G +0.023% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.04%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.525%E -0.314%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 10:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.04%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.10%E -2.55%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 10:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.04%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.04%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -10.65%E -7.10%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| GTbets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -11.85%E -5.44%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -0.525%E -0.314%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 09:59 |
| Betsson | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -12.66%E -5.86%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -15.09%E -7.18%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -4.10%E -2.55%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -17.11%E -8.35%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV +1.26%E +0.742%K +1.80%G +0.023% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 0.4% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| ProphetX | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47% | 3.3% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Novig | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 10:15 |