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Lina Gjorcheska v Lucia Bronzetti
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lina Gjorcheska (Local)
assuming max odds 3.31
Lucia Bronzetti (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.36
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lina Gjorcheska (Local): 29.48%; Lucia Bronzetti (Visit): 70.52%. For Lina Gjorcheska (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.31, with an expected value of -2.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV -2.43%E -0.735%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -4.09%E -3.01%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-25 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.46%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-25 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.20%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.09%E -3.01%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-25 14:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.20%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.20%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -9.02%E -7.00%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-25 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.91%E -5.23%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-25 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-25 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -7.45%E -2.37%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -5.50%E -4.10%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-25 14:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.00%EV -9.21%E -2.99%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.00%EV -6.91%E -5.23%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-25 14:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -10.10%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -9.02%E -7.00%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-25 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -15.11%E -5.25%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.09%E -3.01%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-25 14:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-06-25 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-06-25 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-06-25 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17% | 3.5% | 2026-06-25 14:30 |