Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katie Volynets v Leolia Jeanjean

Kickoff: 2026-06-25 13:55 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

79%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katie Volynets (Local)

Prediction 79.12%1.26fair odd

EV +5.23%

Edge +3.93%

Kelly +15.86%

Growth +0.830%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.27%78.62%78.92%80.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.141.211.201.3387.72%82.79%83.33%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leolia Jeanjean (Visit)

Prediction 20.88%4.79fair odd

EV +1.68%

Edge +0.344%

Kelly +0.433%

Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 4.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.77%21.38%21.08%28.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.304.254.404.8730.30%23.54%22.73%20.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katie Volynets (Local): 79.12%; Leolia Jeanjean (Visit): 20.88%. For Katie Volynets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
PlayUp🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV +5.23%E +3.93%K +15.86%G +0.830%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -31.10%E -9.43%K -13.52%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-25 13:49
BoyleSports🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -1.10%E -0.878%K -4.39%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -21.71%E -5.79%K -7.89%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-25 13:39
GTbets🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 76.69%EV -1.89%E -1.52%K -7.87%G +0.000%	4.08I 24.51%NM 23.31%EV -14.82%E -3.63%K -4.81%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-25 13:46
ReBet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.26%E -3.52%K -20.30%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.05%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-25 13:44
Fliff🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -4.26%E -3.52%K -20.30%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -20.66%E -5.44%K -7.38%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-06-25 13:50
Pinnacle🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 80.23%EV -5.05%E -4.21%K -25.27%G +0.000%	4.87I 20.53%NM 19.77%EV +1.68%E +0.344%K +0.433%G +0.007%	3.9%	2026-06-25 13:50
Betway🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.05%E -4.21%K -25.27%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.05%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-25 13:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.05%E -4.21%K -25.27%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.14%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-25 13:49
NordicBet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.10%EV -5.05%E -4.21%K -25.27%G +0.000%	4.28I 23.36%NM 21.90%EV -10.64%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-25 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -5.84%E -4.91%K -30.76%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -7.09%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-25 13:43
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 77.72%EV -5.84%E -4.91%K -30.76%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -13.36%E -3.22%K -4.24%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-06-25 13:43
theScore Bet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.64%E -5.62%K -36.87%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.14%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-25 13:50
Paddy Power🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.43%E -6.35%K -43.69%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.05%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-06-25 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -9.80%E -8.60%K -70.01%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -6.05%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-06-25 13:47

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%	4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%	0.4%	2026-06-25 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%	4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%	0.4%	2026-06-25 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%	4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%	0.4%	2026-06-25 13:50
Smarkets◎	1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%	4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40%	2.1%	2026-06-25 13:50