Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katerina Siniakova v Nikola Bartunkova

Kickoff: 2026-07-01 15:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katerina Siniakova (Local)

Prediction 61.18%1.63fair odd
EV +0.953%
Edge +0.578%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.23%61.09%61.25%64.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.541.541.6570.42%65.10%64.94%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nikola Bartunkova (Visit)

Prediction 38.82%2.58fair odd
EV +2.09%
Edge +0.793%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.77%38.91%38.75%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.432.432.6345.45%41.20%41.15%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katerina Siniakova (Local): 61.18%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visit): 38.82%. For Nikola Bartunkova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -10.06%E -6.84%K -21.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV +2.09%E +0.793%K +1.28%G +0.027%6.1%2026-07-01 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -10.06%E -6.84%K -21.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV +2.09%E +0.793%K +1.28%G +0.027%6.1%2026-07-01 15:00
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -10.06%E -6.84%K -21.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV +2.09%E +0.793%K +1.28%G +0.027%6.1%2026-07-01 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -8.22%E -5.48%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +1.70%E +0.648%K +1.05%G +0.018%4.8%2026-07-01 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -11.28%E -7.78%K -25.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +0.922%E +0.355%K +0.576%G +0.005%7.4%2026-07-01 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -11.28%E -7.78%K -25.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +0.922%E +0.355%K +0.576%G +0.005%7.4%2026-07-01 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -11.28%E -7.78%K -25.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +0.922%E +0.355%K +0.576%G +0.005%7.4%2026-07-01 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.00%E -4.61%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.02%E -0.400%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -13.12%E -9.24%K -31.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -1.02%E -0.400%K -0.657%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-01 15:00
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.72%E -1.71%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.41%E -0.554%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.33%E -2.11%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.57%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-01 14:59
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.22%E -5.48%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.96%E -1.18%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 15:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.22%E -5.48%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.96%E -1.18%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 15:00
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.22%E -5.48%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.96%E -1.18%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 15:00
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -10.06%E -6.84%K -21.40%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -3.35%E -1.34%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 15:00
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.94%E -2.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.74%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.78%E -3.75%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -4.12%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 14:59
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -3.94%E -2.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -4.51%E -1.83%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:00
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.17%E -3.33%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.51%E -1.83%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:10
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.94%E -2.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 09:39
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.94%E -2.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 14:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.17%E -3.33%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:59
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.17%E -3.33%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:40
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.17%E -3.33%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 05:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.17%E -3.33%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 05:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.78%E -3.75%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 15:00
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.55%E -2.92%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.29%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 14:59
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.78%E -3.75%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.68%E -2.34%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.78%E -3.75%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.68%E -2.34%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.78%E -3.75%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.68%E -2.34%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 15:00
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.78%E -3.75%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.68%E -2.34%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 15:00
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -8.22%E -5.48%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -5.68%E -2.34%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 14:59
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -2.11%E -1.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -6.06%E -2.51%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 14:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -6.06%E -2.51%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 14:40
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.72%E -1.71%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 14:58
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.33%E -2.11%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 14:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.33%E -2.11%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 14:58
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.55%E -2.92%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.17%E -3.33%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 14:58
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.17%E -3.33%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 14:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.61%E -5.04%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-01 15:00
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.94%E -2.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.62%E -3.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 14:50
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.94%E -2.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.62%E -3.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 08:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.94%E -2.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.62%E -3.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 15:00
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.62%E -3.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-01 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.62%E -3.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-01 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.62%E -3.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-01 14:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.03%EV -7.00%E -4.61%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.62%E -3.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.01%E -3.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.33%E -2.11%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.78%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.94%E -2.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.78%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 15:00
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.55%E -2.92%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.78%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 15:00
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.78%E -3.75%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.78%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.00%E -4.61%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.78%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.22%E -5.48%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.78%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 14:59
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +0.953%E +0.578%K +1.47%G +0.014%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.17%E -3.33%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 15:00
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -7.61%E -5.04%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-01 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.11%E -1.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.66%E -5.63%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 15:00
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.94%E -2.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.66%E -5.63%K -10.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 15:00
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -6.39%E -4.18%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -12.66%E -5.63%K -10.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-01 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.00%E -4.61%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -12.66%E -5.63%K -10.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-01 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -8.22%E -5.48%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -14.60%E -6.64%K -12.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-01 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-07-01 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-07-01 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-07-01 14:40
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-07-01 15:00
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%2.8%2026-07-01 15:00
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-07-01 15:00
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%5.1%2026-07-01 15:00