Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.79
assuming max odds 2.16
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katarzyna Kawa (Local): 54.93%; Susan Bandecchi (Visit): 45.07%. For Katarzyna Kawa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.79, with an expected value of -1.68%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.68%E -0.937%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.87%E -2.21%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.42%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.97%E -2.87%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.62%E -3.89%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.17%E -4.24%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-23 03:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.72%E -4.59%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.15%E -3.47%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-23 03:28 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-23 03:28 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%EV -10.47%E -6.42%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.03%EV -10.31%E -5.18%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06% | 2.4% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |