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Katarzyna Kawa v Lucrezia Stefanini
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Katarzyna Kawa (Local)
assuming max odds 1.62
Lucrezia Stefanini (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.66
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katarzyna Kawa (Local): 62.65%; Lucrezia Stefanini (Visit): 37.35%. For Katarzyna Kawa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +1.49%E +0.919%K +2.40%G +0.036% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -15.96%E -7.09%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-24 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -1.64%E -1.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -15.96%E -7.09%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-24 13:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.52%E -2.29%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-24 13:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.52%E -2.29%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.35%E -4.31%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-24 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -5.40%E -3.58%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -0.642%E -0.241%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-24 13:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.40%E -3.58%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-24 13:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.40%E -3.58%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -11.10%E -4.66%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-24 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.88%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-24 13:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-24 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.28%E -4.92%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.02%E -0.383%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:47 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -9.16%E -6.32%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -8.49%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-24 13:47 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -10.41%E -7.28%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-24 13:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-06-24 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-06-24 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-06-24 13:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-06-24 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 13:50 |