Language:English
Karolina Muchova v Shuai Zhang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Prediction 85.40%1.17fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -18.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.08%85.37%85.53%87.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.111.101.1493.46%90.42%90.91%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shuai Zhang (Visit)
Prediction 14.60%6.85fair odd
EV +13.91%
Edge +1.78%
Kelly +2.05%
Growth +0.284%
assuming max odds 7.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.36%14.63%14.47%16.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.506.507.8018.18%15.38%15.38%12.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Muchova (Local): 85.40%; Shuai Zhang (Visit): 14.60%. For Shuai Zhang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.85. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +13.91%E +1.78%K +2.05%G +0.284% | 3.7% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +9.53%E +1.27%K +1.47%G +0.140% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +9.53%E +1.27%K +1.47%G +0.140% | 4.2% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.77%E -7.20%K -97.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +9.53%E +1.27%K +1.47%G +0.140% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 12:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV +6.61%E +0.905%K +1.05%G +0.069% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.77%E -7.20%K -97.15%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +5.15%E +0.715%K +0.830%G +0.043% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.35%EV -3.50%E -3.10%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.65%EV +4.41%E +0.617%K +0.718%G +0.032% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.36%E -3.89%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +2.22%E +0.318%K +0.371%G +0.008% | 3.6% | 2026-07-01 12:27 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +2.22%E +0.318%K +0.371%G +0.008% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +2.22%E +0.318%K +0.371%G +0.008% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 12:28 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.22%E +0.318%K +0.371%G +0.008% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 12:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.22%E +0.318%K +0.371%G +0.008% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.92%E -6.35%K -76.86%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +2.22%E +0.318%K +0.371%G +0.008% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 12:26 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.36%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.43%E -0.211%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 12:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.36%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.43%E -0.211%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 12:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.92%E -6.35%K -76.86%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -1.43%E -0.211%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.36%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -2.16%E -0.322%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 12:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.50%E -3.10%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.36%E -3.89%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 12:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 12:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.21%E -4.69%K -47.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 12:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:28 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:28 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.92%E -6.35%K -76.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -5.08%E -0.781%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.92%E -6.35%K -76.86%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.54%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.92%E -6.35%K -76.86%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.54%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.22%EV -6.06%E -5.51%K -60.64%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 14.78%EV -7.41%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.36%E -3.89%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -8.00%E -1.27%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.36%E -3.89%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.73%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 12:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.36%E -3.89%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.73%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.92%E -6.35%K -76.86%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -8.73%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.92%E -6.35%K -76.86%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -8.73%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.92%E -6.35%K -76.86%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -8.73%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.92%E -6.35%K -76.86%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -8.73%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -7.77%E -7.20%K -97.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -10.92%E -1.79%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -8.63%E -8.06%K -123.22%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -10.92%E -1.79%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.65%E -2.32%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 12:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.50%E -3.10%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.50%E -3.10%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.36%E -3.89%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.36%E -3.89%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.36%E -3.89%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.36%E -3.89%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 12:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.36%E -3.89%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.38%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 12:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.01%EV -2.65%E -2.32%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 5.99I 16.69%NM 15.99%EV -12.53%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -4.36%E -3.89%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -12.96%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -4.36%E -3.89%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -12.96%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.36%E -3.89%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.03%E -2.79%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.36%E -3.89%K -36.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.68%E -3.58%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-01 12:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.45% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.55% | 1.9% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71% | 2.3% | 2026-07-01 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 12:30 |