Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.32
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kaitlin Quevedo (Local): 73.58%; Sayaka Ishii (Visit): 26.42%. For Sayaka Ishii (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.385%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.08%E -3.94%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.385%E +0.101%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.81%E -4.54%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.26%E -0.610%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-23 12:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.34%E -3.34%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.05%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.33%EV -2.87%E -2.17%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.34%E -3.34%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.81%E -4.54%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.02%E -6.42%K -32.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -7.29%E -5.78%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.58%EV -8.07%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-23 12:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.46%EV -4.34%E -3.34%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.54%EV -9.65%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.34%E -3.34%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.34%E -3.34%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -15.47%E -4.83%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 2.8% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |