Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kaitlin Quevedo v Claire Liu

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kaitlin Quevedo (Local)

Prediction 44.30%2.26fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.548%
Kelly -0.993%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.11%44.45%44.06%46.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.082.2350.00%47.69%48.08%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Claire Liu (Visit)

Prediction 55.70%1.80fair odd
EV -0.289%
Edge -0.161%
Kelly -0.365%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.26%55.55%55.94%56.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.691.7961.73%58.90%59.17%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kaitlin Quevedo (Local): 44.30%; Claire Liu (Visit): 55.70%. For Claire Liu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.79, with an expected value of -0.289%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.22%E -0.548%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.86%E -3.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 11:00
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.55%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.30%E -3.12%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 11:00
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 11:40
ReBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.63%E -2.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-24 11:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.98%E -3.32%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.97%E -4.18%K -10.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 05:09
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -7.87%E -3.78%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -4.75%E -2.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-24 10:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.90%EV -8.31%E -4.01%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -9.76%E -6.02%K -15.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-24 11:39
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.19%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.75%E -2.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-24 06:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -9.19%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.86%E -3.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-24 10:58
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.19%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.97%E -4.18%K -10.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-24 11:00
GTbets🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -9.64%E -4.72%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -0.289%E -0.161%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 04:20
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.41%E -5.70%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.63%E -2.10%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 11:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-06-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-06-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-06-24 11:50
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%3.0%2026-06-24 11:50