The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Justina Mikulskytė v Lucia Bronzetti

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Justina Mikulskytė (Local)

Prediction 19.28%5.19fair odd
EV +52.88%
Edge +6.67%
Kelly +7.63%
Growth +4.03%

assuming max odds 7.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.38%18.98%19.28%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.755.084.657.9326.67%19.69%21.51%12.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lucia Bronzetti (Visit)

Prediction 80.72%1.24fair odd
EV +0.902%
Edge +0.722%
Kelly +3.61%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%81.02%80.72%87.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.171.171.2589.29%85.23%85.84%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Justina Mikulskytė (Local): 19.28%; Lucia Bronzetti (Visit): 80.72%. For Justina Mikulskytė (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +52.88%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯7.93I 12.61%NM 12.38%EV +52.88%E +6.67%K +7.63%G +4.03%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.62%EV -9.59%E -8.56%K -79.93%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-24 15:40
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.61%E -0.722%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.75%E -4.02%K -26.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 15:50
theScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.46%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.36%E -5.49%K -39.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 15:50
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.56%E -4.75%K -32.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-24 15:50
Fliff🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.36%E -5.49%K -39.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-24 15:50
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -27.71%E -7.39%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV +0.902%E +0.722%K +3.61%G +0.033%6.7%2026-06-24 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-06-24 15:50
Smarkets◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%2.0%2026-06-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%2.9%2026-06-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%4.2%2026-06-24 15:50