The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Justina Mikulskytė v Carol Zhao

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Justina Mikulskytė (Local)

Prediction 38.16%2.62fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.39%38.24%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.502.5243.48%40.65%40.00%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carol Zhao (Visit)

Prediction 61.84%1.62fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -6.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.05%61.61%61.76%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.521.521.5668.03%65.85%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Justina Mikulskytė (Local): 38.16%; Carol Zhao (Visit): 61.84%. For Carol Zhao (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.56, with an expected value of -3.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.84%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.53%E -2.26%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 10:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 10:20
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.00%E -3.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 03:29
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.24%E -4.83%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 03:28
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.24%E -4.83%K -14.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-23 10:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -9.10%E -6.19%K -19.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 10:19
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 03:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-06-23 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-06-23 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-06-23 10:20
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.4%2026-06-23 10:20