Idioma:Español
Jessica Pegula v Sara Sorribes Tormo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Predicción 90.98%1.10momio equitativo
EV -0.837%
Ventaja -0.768%
Kelly -9.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
88.30%90.92%90.99%93.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.021.051.051.0998.04%95.60%95.24%91.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sara Sorribes Tormo (Visitante)
Predicción 9.02%11.08momio equitativo
EV +26.35%
Ventaja +1.88%
Kelly +2.03%
Crecimiento +0.534%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 14.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.91%9.08%9.01%11.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
8.0010.3510.0014.0012.50%9.66%10.00%7.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jessica Pegula (Local): 90.98%; Sara Sorribes Tormo (Visitante): 9.02%. Para Sara Sorribes Tormo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 11.08. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 14.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +26.35%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +26.35%E +1.88%K +2.03%G +0.534% | 3.3% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.09%EV -7.21%E -7.06%K -360.27%G +0.000% | 13.75I 7.27%NM 6.91%EV +24.09%E +1.75%K +1.89%G +0.455% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +17.32%E +1.33%K +1.44%G +0.250% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%EV +12.81%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.143% | 3.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +12.81%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.143% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.08%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000% | 12.20I 8.20%NM 7.92%EV +10.10%E +0.828%K +0.902%G +0.091% | 3.4% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +8.30%E +0.692%K +0.754%G +0.063% | 4.5% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +8.30%E +0.692%K +0.754%G +0.063% | 4.5% | 2026-07-01 15:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.21%E -7.06%K -360.27%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +8.30%E +0.692%K +0.754%G +0.063% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.73%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.27%EV +6.04%E +0.514%K +0.562%G +0.034% | 2.9% | 2026-07-01 15:38 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000% | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV +1.08%E +0.096%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 15:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.21%E -7.06%K -360.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.12%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000% | 10.78I 9.28%NM 8.88%EV -2.71%E -0.252%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -5.24%E -0.499%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 15:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -5.24%E -0.499%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 15:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -7.21%E -7.06%K -360.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -5.24%E -0.499%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.95%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000% | 10.35I 9.66%NM 9.05%EV -6.59%E -0.637%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.44%EV -0.837%E -0.768%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 10.31I 9.70%NM 9.56%EV -6.95%E -0.674%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -7.50%E -0.731%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -7.50%E -0.731%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 15:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -12.01%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -12.01%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.32%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.68%EV -12.46%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 15:38 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 15:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -18.78%E -2.09%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 15:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -18.78%E -2.09%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -18.78%E -2.09%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -7.21%E -7.06%K -360.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -18.78%E -2.09%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -27.80%E -3.48%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -27.80%E -3.48%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-01 15:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87% | 0.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87% | 0.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87% | 0.2% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.96% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.04% | 0.4% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.16% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84% | 2.2% | 2026-07-01 15:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.90% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.10% | 2.4% | 2026-07-01 15:40 |