مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jessica Pegula v Sara Sorribes Tormo

البداية: 2026-07-01 15:53 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

65 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jessica Pegula (المضيف)

التنبؤ 90.98%1.10السعر العادل
EV -0.837%
الأفضلية -0.768%
Kelly -9.30%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.09

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
88.30%90.92%90.99%93.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.021.051.051.0998.04%95.60%95.24%91.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sara Sorribes Tormo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 9.02%11.08السعر العادل
EV +26.35%
الأفضلية +1.88%
Kelly +2.03%
النمو +0.534%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 14.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
6.91%9.08%9.01%11.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.0010.3510.0014.0012.50%9.66%10.00%7.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +26.35%E +1.88%K +2.03%G +0.534%3.3%2026-07-01 15:40
BetOnline.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 93.09%EV -7.21%E -7.06%K -360.27%G +0.000%13.75I 7.27%NM 6.91%EV +24.09%E +1.75%K +1.89%G +0.455%5.3%2026-07-01 15:40
FanDuel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +17.32%E +1.33%K +1.44%G +0.250%4.8%2026-07-01 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%EV +12.81%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.143%3.2%2026-07-01 15:40
SportsBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +12.81%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.143%5.1%2026-07-01 15:40
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 92.08%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.92%EV +10.10%E +0.828%K +0.902%G +0.091%3.4%2026-07-01 15:40
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +8.30%E +0.692%K +0.754%G +0.063%4.5%2026-07-01 15:40
Bovada1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +8.30%E +0.692%K +0.754%G +0.063%4.5%2026-07-01 15:38
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.21%E -7.06%K -360.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +8.30%E +0.692%K +0.754%G +0.063%6.4%2026-07-01 15:35
Betclic (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 91.73%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.27%EV +6.04%E +0.514%K +0.562%G +0.034%2.9%2026-07-01 15:38
BetAnything1.04I 96.15%NM 91.50%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.50%EV +1.08%E +0.096%K +0.106%G +0.001%5.1%2026-07-01 15:40
Dabble (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-01 15:40
1xBet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:40
ReBet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:39
Winamax (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 15:40
Sky Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 15:40
888sport1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 15:40
888sport (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 15:40
TAB1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.21%E -7.06%K -360.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -0.727%E -0.066%K -0.073%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 15:40
Pinnacle1.05I 95.24%NM 91.12%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000%10.78I 9.28%NM 8.88%EV -2.71%E -0.252%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 15:40
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -5.24%E -0.499%K -0.551%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 15:39
Fanatics1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -5.24%E -0.499%K -0.551%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 15:39
NetBet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -7.21%E -7.06%K -360.27%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -5.24%E -0.499%K -0.551%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 15:40
Fliff1.03I 97.09%NM 90.95%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000%10.35I 9.66%NM 9.05%EV -6.59%E -0.637%K -0.705%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 15:40
GTbets1.09I 91.74%NM 90.44%EV -0.837%E -0.768%K -9.30%G +0.000%10.31I 9.70%NM 9.56%EV -6.95%E -0.674%K -0.747%G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-01 15:40
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -7.50%E -0.731%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 15:40
Marathon Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -7.50%E -0.731%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 15:40
PlayUp1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:40
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:40
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 15:40
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 15:40
William Hill1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 15:38
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 15:40
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 15:40
betfred_uk1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 15:40
BetUS1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 15:40
NordicBet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 15:40
Betsson1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.75%E -0.975%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 15:40
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -12.01%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -12.01%E -1.23%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 15:40
MyBookie.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 90.32%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.68%EV -12.46%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 15:40
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:40
Unibet (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:40
TABtouch1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:40
BetRivers1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:38
Casumo1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:40
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:40
Grosvenor1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:40
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:40
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:40
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:40
betPARX1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:39
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 15:40
Virgin Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.39%E -5.18%K -134.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 15:40
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -14.26%E -1.50%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 15:40
Everygame1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -18.78%E -2.09%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 15:39
BetMGM1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -18.78%E -2.09%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 15:40
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.30%E -6.11%K -209.85%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -18.78%E -2.09%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 15:40
PMU (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -7.21%E -7.06%K -360.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -18.78%E -2.09%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 15:40
Caesars1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.57%E -3.36%K -59.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -27.80%E -3.48%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 15:40
Bet Victor1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.48%E -4.26%K -89.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -27.80%E -3.48%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-01 15:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87%0.2%2026-07-01 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87%0.2%2026-07-01 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87%0.2%2026-07-01 15:40
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.96%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.04%0.4%2026-07-01 15:40
ProphetX1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-07-01 15:40
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 93.16%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84%2.2%2026-07-01 15:39
Smarkets1.04I 96.15%NM 93.90%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.10%2.4%2026-07-01 15:40