L’École des cotes

Jessica Pegula v Iva Jović

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 12:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prévision 72.50%1.38cote équitable
EV +5.12%
Avantage +3.53%
Kelly +11.39%
Croissance +0.584%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.15%72.13%72.78%75.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.341.361.4581.97%74.41%73.53%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Iva Jović (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.50%3.64cote équitable
EV +5.88%
Avantage +1.53%
Kelly +2.06%
Croissance +0.121%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.51%27.87%27.22%32.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.223.153.8535.71%31.10%31.75%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.71%EV +5.12%E +3.53%K +11.39%G +0.584%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.29%EV -16.40%E -5.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 12:00
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV +2.95%E +2.08%K +7.02%G +0.207%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 08:25
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +2.22%E +1.58%K +5.43%G +0.121%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 08:25
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +2.22%E +1.58%K +5.43%G +0.121%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 08:25
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +2.22%E +1.58%K +5.43%G +0.121%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 08:25
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +2.22%E +1.58%K +5.43%G +0.121%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 08:25
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +2.22%E +1.58%K +5.43%G +0.121%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 08:25
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +2.22%E +1.58%K +5.43%G +0.121%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 08:24
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +2.22%E +1.58%K +5.43%G +0.121%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 08:25
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +2.22%E +1.58%K +5.43%G +0.121%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 08:25
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV +1.50%E +1.07%K +3.75%G +0.056%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 12:04
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +1.50%E +1.07%K +3.75%G +0.056%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 12:07
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +1.50%E +1.07%K +3.75%G +0.056%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -20.25%E -6.98%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:05
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +1.50%E +1.07%K +3.75%G +0.056%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -20.25%E -6.98%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:05
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +1.50%E +1.07%K +3.75%G +0.056%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -20.25%E -6.98%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV +1.50%E +1.07%K +3.75%G +0.056%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -20.80%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:05
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV +1.50%E +1.07%K +3.75%G +0.056%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -20.80%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:05
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV +1.50%E +1.07%K +3.75%G +0.056%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -20.80%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:05
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV +0.775%E +0.557%K +1.99%G +0.015%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -13.37%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 11:59
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 11:54
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -13.37%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 12:00
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -13.37%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -16.12%E -5.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 11:55
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -16.12%E -5.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 11:55
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 12:05
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 12:00
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -20.25%E -6.98%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 10:04
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -21.62%E -7.59%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 12:05
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -0.675%E -0.493%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 12:03
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -0.675%E -0.493%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -23.00%E -8.21%K -12.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 12:06
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.40%E -1.03%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 12:00
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -1.40%E -1.03%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -12.27%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:00
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -1.40%E -1.03%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -14.20%E -4.55%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 11:59
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.40%E -1.03%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 11:49
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.40%E -1.03%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -1.40%E -1.03%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -21.62%E -7.59%K -11.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 12:05
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.13%E -1.57%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 11:59
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -2.85%E -2.13%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -7.05%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 12:09
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.85%E -2.13%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:05
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -2.85%E -2.13%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -13.37%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 12:03
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 12:10
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 12:10
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +4.50%E +1.18%K +1.61%G +0.072%3.8%2026-07-05 12:10
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.999%E -0.278%K -0.384%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:09
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 12:10
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 12:10
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 12:08
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 12:10
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 12:10
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.20%E -5.63%K -25.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.20%E -5.63%K -25.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 12:10
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.93%E -6.24%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +4.50%E +1.18%K +1.61%G +0.072%5.1%2026-07-05 12:10
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.93%E -6.24%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +4.50%E +1.18%K +1.61%G +0.072%5.1%2026-07-05 12:10
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.93%E -6.24%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +1.75%E +0.473%K +0.648%G +0.011%5.8%2026-07-05 12:10
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.93%E -6.24%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 12:10
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -8.65%E -6.87%K -33.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV +1.75%E +0.473%K +0.648%G +0.011%6.4%2026-07-05 12:10
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -9.38%E -7.50%K -37.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +5.88%E +1.53%K +2.06%G +0.121%6.0%2026-07-05 12:09
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.38%E -7.50%K -37.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.999%E -0.278%K -0.384%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 12:10
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.49%EV -10.10%E -8.15%K -42.08%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.51%EV -0.449%E -0.124%K -0.172%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 12:10
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 74.49%EV -10.10%E -8.15%K -42.08%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.51%EV -0.449%E -0.124%K -0.172%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 12:10
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -10.10%E -8.15%K -42.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.37%E -0.669%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 12:10
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -10.10%E -8.15%K -42.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 12:10
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.59%EV -11.55%E -9.47%K -52.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 12:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-07-05 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-05 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-05 12:10
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-07-05 12:10
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-07-05 12:10
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%4.1%2026-07-05 12:10
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%4.9%2026-07-05 12:10