La escuela de los momios

Jessica Pegula v Iva Jović

Inicio: 2026-07-05 12:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Predicción 72.50%1.38momio equitativo
EV +5.12%
Ventaja +3.53%
Kelly +11.39%
Crecimiento +0.584%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.15%72.13%72.78%75.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.341.361.4581.97%74.41%73.53%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Iva Jović (Visitante)

Predicción 27.50%3.64momio equitativo
EV +5.88%
Ventaja +1.53%
Kelly +2.06%
Crecimiento +0.121%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.51%27.87%27.22%32.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.223.153.8535.71%31.10%31.75%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.71%EV +5.12%E +3.53%K +11.39%G +0.584%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.29%EV -16.40%E -5.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 12:00
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV +2.95%E +2.08%K +7.02%G +0.207%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 08:25
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +2.22%E +1.58%K +5.43%G +0.121%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 08:25
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +2.22%E +1.58%K +5.43%G +0.121%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 08:25
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +2.22%E +1.58%K +5.43%G +0.121%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 08:25
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +2.22%E +1.58%K +5.43%G +0.121%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 08:25
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +2.22%E +1.58%K +5.43%G +0.121%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 08:25
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +2.22%E +1.58%K +5.43%G +0.121%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 08:24
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +2.22%E +1.58%K +5.43%G +0.121%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 08:25
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +2.22%E +1.58%K +5.43%G +0.121%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -18.87%E -6.40%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 08:25
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV +1.50%E +1.07%K +3.75%G +0.056%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 12:04
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +1.50%E +1.07%K +3.75%G +0.056%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 12:07
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +1.50%E +1.07%K +3.75%G +0.056%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -20.25%E -6.98%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:05
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +1.50%E +1.07%K +3.75%G +0.056%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -20.25%E -6.98%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 12:05
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +1.50%E +1.07%K +3.75%G +0.056%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -20.25%E -6.98%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV +1.50%E +1.07%K +3.75%G +0.056%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -20.80%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:05
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV +1.50%E +1.07%K +3.75%G +0.056%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -20.80%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:05
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV +1.50%E +1.07%K +3.75%G +0.056%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -20.80%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:05
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV +0.775%E +0.557%K +1.99%G +0.015%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -13.37%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 11:59
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 11:54
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -13.37%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 12:00
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -13.37%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -16.12%E -5.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 11:55
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -16.12%E -5.29%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 11:55
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 12:05
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 12:00
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -20.25%E -6.98%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 10:04
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV +0.050%E +0.036%K +0.131%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -21.62%E -7.59%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 12:05
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -0.675%E -0.493%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 12:03
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -0.675%E -0.493%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -23.00%E -8.21%K -12.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 12:06
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.40%E -1.03%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 12:00
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -1.40%E -1.03%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -12.27%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:00
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -1.40%E -1.03%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -14.20%E -4.55%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 11:59
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.40%E -1.03%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.75%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 11:49
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.40%E -1.03%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -17.50%E -5.83%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -1.40%E -1.03%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -21.62%E -7.59%K -11.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 12:05
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.13%E -1.57%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 11:59
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -2.85%E -2.13%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -7.05%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 12:09
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.85%E -2.13%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:05
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -2.85%E -2.13%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -13.37%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 12:03
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.58%E -2.69%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 12:10
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.84%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 12:10
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +4.50%E +1.18%K +1.61%G +0.072%3.8%2026-07-05 12:10
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.999%E -0.278%K -0.384%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 12:09
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 12:10
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 12:10
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 12:08
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 12:10
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.48%E -5.02%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 12:10
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.20%E -5.63%K -25.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.20%E -5.63%K -25.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 12:10
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.93%E -6.24%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +4.50%E +1.18%K +1.61%G +0.072%5.1%2026-07-05 12:10
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.93%E -6.24%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +4.50%E +1.18%K +1.61%G +0.072%5.1%2026-07-05 12:10
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.93%E -6.24%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +1.75%E +0.473%K +0.648%G +0.011%5.8%2026-07-05 12:10
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.93%E -6.24%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 12:10
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -8.65%E -6.87%K -33.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV +1.75%E +0.473%K +0.648%G +0.011%6.4%2026-07-05 12:10
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -9.38%E -7.50%K -37.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +5.88%E +1.53%K +2.06%G +0.121%6.0%2026-07-05 12:09
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.38%E -7.50%K -37.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.999%E -0.278%K -0.384%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 12:10
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.49%EV -10.10%E -8.15%K -42.08%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.51%EV -0.449%E -0.124%K -0.172%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 12:10
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 74.49%EV -10.10%E -8.15%K -42.08%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.51%EV -0.449%E -0.124%K -0.172%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 12:10
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -10.10%E -8.15%K -42.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.37%E -0.669%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 12:10
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -10.10%E -8.15%K -42.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 12:10
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.59%EV -11.55%E -9.47%K -52.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 12:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-07-05 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-05 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-05 12:10
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-07-05 12:10
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-07-05 12:10
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%4.1%2026-07-05 12:10
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%4.9%2026-07-05 12:10