L’École des cotes

Jessica Pegula v Coco Gauff

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-07 12:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prévision 58.48%1.71cote équitable
EV +1.76%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +2.38%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.69%58.46%58.43%63.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.621.621.7465.79%61.82%61.92%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Coco Gauff (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.52%2.41cote équitable
EV +9.19%
Avantage +3.50%
Kelly +5.64%
Croissance +0.519%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.93%41.54%41.57%45.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.272.252.6350.00%43.99%44.44%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -9.94%E -6.45%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +9.19%E +3.50%K +5.64%G +0.519%3.0%2026-07-07 12:34
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +5.87%E +2.30%K +3.79%G +0.222%2.9%2026-07-07 12:20
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -9.94%E -6.45%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +5.87%E +2.30%K +3.79%G +0.222%4.2%2026-07-07 12:30
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -7.01%E -4.41%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV +5.04%E +1.99%K +3.30%G +0.166%2.4%2026-07-07 12:15
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -8.77%E -5.62%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +3.80%E +1.52%K +2.53%G +0.096%4.1%2026-07-07 12:20
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -8.77%E -5.62%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +3.80%E +1.52%K +2.53%G +0.096%4.1%2026-07-07 12:20
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -10.52%E -6.88%K -19.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +3.80%E +1.52%K +2.53%G +0.096%5.4%2026-07-07 12:37
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -11.11%E -7.31%K -21.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +3.80%E +1.52%K +2.53%G +0.096%5.8%2026-07-07 12:37
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV +3.38%E +1.36%K +2.27%G +0.077%3.9%2026-07-07 12:19
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV +2.55%E +1.03%K +1.74%G +0.044%3.0%2026-07-07 12:20
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -7.60%E -4.81%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV +2.14%E +0.868%K +1.46%G +0.031%3.9%2026-07-07 12:15
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -9.35%E -6.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +1.72%E +0.702%K +1.19%G +0.020%5.3%2026-07-07 12:33
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -11.11%E -7.31%K -21.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV +1.72%E +0.702%K +1.19%G +0.020%6.6%2026-07-07 12:30
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.77%E -5.62%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.890%E +0.366%K +0.623%G +0.006%5.3%2026-07-07 11:39
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.355%E -0.148%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 11:20
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.355%E -0.148%K -0.254%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.355%E -0.148%K -0.254%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:14
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.35%E -6.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.355%E -0.148%K -0.254%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 12:14
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.19%E -0.498%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 11:24
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.19%E -0.498%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 12:00
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -9.35%E -6.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -1.19%E -0.498%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 12:29
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.85%E -3.63%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 12:29
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.51%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 12:40
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:35
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:40
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 12:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 12:40
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 12:40
Unibet (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.68%E -2.87%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.92%E -2.15%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 12:40
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.51%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 12:40
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 12:35
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 12:38
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 12:40
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 12:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 12:40
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.34%E -1.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.66%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 12:39
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.66%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 12:40
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.49%E -4.35%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:40
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.49%E -4.35%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:40
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.49%E -4.35%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:40
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.49%E -4.35%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:40
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.49%E -4.35%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:40
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.49%E -4.35%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:40
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -10.32%E -4.78%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 12:40
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -10.32%E -4.78%K -8.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 12:40
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -10.32%E -4.78%K -8.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 12:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV +1.17%E +0.678%K +1.61%G +0.019%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 12:40
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +0.003%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 12:40
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.51%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:40
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.85%E -3.63%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-07 12:40
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.51%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -11.15%E -5.21%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.51%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -11.15%E -5.21%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 12:40
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.51%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -11.15%E -5.21%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 12:40
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.51%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -11.15%E -5.21%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 12:40
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV +1.76%E +1.01%K +2.38%G +0.042%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -12.40%E -5.87%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 12:39
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +1.76%E +1.01%K +2.38%G +0.042%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 12:40
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +1.17%E +0.678%K +1.61%G +0.019%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -0.582%E -0.342%K -0.831%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -0.582%E -0.342%K -0.831%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -4.68%E -2.87%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-07 12:40
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-07 12:40
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -7.60%E -4.81%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-07 12:40
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV +0.003%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-07 12:40
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -3.51%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -14.06%E -6.79%K -13.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-07 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -7.60%E -4.81%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -16.96%E -8.48%K -16.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-07 12:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-07-07 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-07 12:40
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-07 12:40
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-07-07 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-07-07 12:40
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%2.3%2026-07-07 12:40
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%4.5%2026-07-07 12:40