La escuela de los momios

Jessica Pegula v Coco Gauff

Inicio: 2026-07-07 12:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Predicción 58.48%1.71momio equitativo
EV +1.76%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +2.38%
Crecimiento +0.042%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.69%58.46%58.43%63.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.621.621.7465.79%61.82%61.92%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Coco Gauff (Visitante)

Predicción 41.52%2.41momio equitativo
EV +9.19%
Ventaja +3.50%
Kelly +5.64%
Crecimiento +0.519%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.93%41.54%41.57%45.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.272.252.6350.00%43.99%44.44%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -9.94%E -6.45%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +9.19%E +3.50%K +5.64%G +0.519%3.0%2026-07-07 12:34
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +5.87%E +2.30%K +3.79%G +0.222%2.9%2026-07-07 12:20
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -9.94%E -6.45%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +5.87%E +2.30%K +3.79%G +0.222%4.2%2026-07-07 12:30
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -7.01%E -4.41%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV +5.04%E +1.99%K +3.30%G +0.166%2.4%2026-07-07 12:15
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -8.77%E -5.62%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +3.80%E +1.52%K +2.53%G +0.096%4.1%2026-07-07 12:20
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -8.77%E -5.62%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +3.80%E +1.52%K +2.53%G +0.096%4.1%2026-07-07 12:20
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -10.52%E -6.88%K -19.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +3.80%E +1.52%K +2.53%G +0.096%5.4%2026-07-07 12:37
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -11.11%E -7.31%K -21.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +3.80%E +1.52%K +2.53%G +0.096%5.8%2026-07-07 12:37
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV +3.38%E +1.36%K +2.27%G +0.077%3.9%2026-07-07 12:19
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV +2.55%E +1.03%K +1.74%G +0.044%3.0%2026-07-07 12:20
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -7.60%E -4.81%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV +2.14%E +0.868%K +1.46%G +0.031%3.9%2026-07-07 12:15
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -9.35%E -6.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +1.72%E +0.702%K +1.19%G +0.020%5.3%2026-07-07 12:33
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -11.11%E -7.31%K -21.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV +1.72%E +0.702%K +1.19%G +0.020%6.6%2026-07-07 12:30
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -8.77%E -5.62%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +0.890%E +0.366%K +0.623%G +0.006%5.3%2026-07-07 11:39
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -0.355%E -0.148%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 11:20
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.355%E -0.148%K -0.254%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.355%E -0.148%K -0.254%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:14
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.35%E -6.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.355%E -0.148%K -0.254%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 12:14
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.19%E -0.498%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 11:24
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.19%E -0.498%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 12:00
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -9.35%E -6.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -1.19%E -0.498%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 12:29
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.85%E -3.63%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.43%E -1.03%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 12:29
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.51%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 12:40
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:35
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 12:40
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 12:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 12:40
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.51%E -1.96%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 12:40
Unibet (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.68%E -2.87%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.92%E -2.15%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 12:40
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.51%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 12:40
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 12:35
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 12:38
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 12:40
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 12:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.18%E -5.21%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.58%E -2.93%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 12:40
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.34%E -1.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.66%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 12:39
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.43%E -4.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.66%E -3.94%K -7.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 12:40
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.49%E -4.35%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:40
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.49%E -4.35%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:40
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.49%E -4.35%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:40
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.49%E -4.35%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:40
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.49%E -4.35%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:40
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.75%E -1.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.49%E -4.35%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:40
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -2.92%E -1.76%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -10.32%E -4.78%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 12:40
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -10.32%E -4.78%K -8.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 12:40
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -10.32%E -4.78%K -8.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 12:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV +1.17%E +0.678%K +1.61%G +0.019%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 12:40
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +0.003%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 12:40
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.51%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 12:40
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.85%E -3.63%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-07 12:40
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.51%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -11.15%E -5.21%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.51%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -11.15%E -5.21%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 12:40
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.51%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -11.15%E -5.21%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 12:40
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -3.51%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -11.15%E -5.21%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 12:40
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV +1.76%E +1.01%K +2.38%G +0.042%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -12.40%E -5.87%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 12:39
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +1.76%E +1.01%K +2.38%G +0.042%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 12:40
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +1.17%E +0.678%K +1.61%G +0.019%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 12:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -0.582%E -0.342%K -0.831%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -0.582%E -0.342%K -0.831%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -4.68%E -2.87%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-07 12:40
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -5.26%E -3.25%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-07 12:40
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -7.60%E -4.81%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-07 12:40
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV +0.003%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-07 12:40
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -3.51%E -2.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -14.06%E -6.79%K -13.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-07 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -7.60%E -4.81%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -16.96%E -8.48%K -16.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-07 12:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-07-07 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-07-07 12:40
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-07-07 12:40
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-07-07 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-07-07 12:40
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%2.3%2026-07-07 12:40
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%4.5%2026-07-07 12:40