Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jaqueline Cristian v Iva Jović

Início: 2026-06-29 10:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jaqueline Cristian (Local)

Previsão 19.32%5.18odd justa
EV +7.62%
Vantagem +1.37%
Kelly +1.67%
Crescimento +0.127%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.24%19.30%19.35%21.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.404.874.905.5722.73%20.55%20.41%17.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Iva Jović (Visitante)

Previsão 80.68%1.24odd justa
EV -3.19%
Vantagem -2.65%
Kelly -15.93%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.85%80.70%80.65%82.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.141.171.181.2087.72%85.14%84.75%83.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jaqueline Cristian (Local): 19.32%; Iva Jović (Visitante): 80.68%. Para Jaqueline Cristian (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.18. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.57, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.62%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯5.57I 17.95%NM 17.24%EV +7.62%E +1.37%K +1.67%G +0.127%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.76%EV -6.41%E -5.53%K -40.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +1.44%E +0.274%K +0.338%G +0.005%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.99%E -3.35%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 10:10
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +0.470%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +0.470%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.22%E -6.28%K -48.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Winamax (DE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -1.46%E -0.287%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -3.99%E -3.35%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 10:05
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.46%E -0.287%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.41%E -5.53%K -40.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
1xBet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -2.43%E -0.481%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:10
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 09:58
MyBookie.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:08
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.41%E -5.53%K -40.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:06
BetOnline.ag🎯4.98I 20.08%NM 19.29%EV -3.78%E -0.759%K -0.950%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.71%EV -3.99%E -3.35%K -21.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:06
Unibet (FR)🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -4.36%E -0.881%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:09
DraftKings🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -4.36%E -0.881%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:02
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:10
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
TABtouch🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
betPARX🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Bally Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:10
NordicBet🎯4.89I 20.45%NM 19.17%EV -5.52%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.83%EV -6.41%E -5.53%K -40.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:10
Betsson🎯4.89I 20.45%NM 19.17%EV -5.52%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.83%EV -6.41%E -5.53%K -40.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -6.29%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.29%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:05
theScore Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.29%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:09
BoyleSports🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.19%E -2.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:05
BetAnything🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:04
NetBet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.41%E -5.53%K -40.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Dabble (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.19%E -2.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Everygame🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
BetUS🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.41%E -5.53%K -40.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 10:08
888sport🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.22%E -6.28%K -48.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.22%E -6.28%K -48.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:09
888sport (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.22%E -6.28%K -48.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:09
PMU (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.19%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.41%E -5.53%K -40.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Fliff🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -9.19%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -8.03%E -7.04%K -57.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 10:09
GTbets🎯4.67I 21.41%NM 20.17%EV -9.77%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.83%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.99%E -3.35%K -21.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
TAB🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -12.09%E -2.66%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -7.22%E -6.28%K -48.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-29 10:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.19%E -2.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:05
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.19%E -2.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:05
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Caesars🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.99%E -3.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
ProphetX6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%1.6%2026-06-29 10:10
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%2.1%2026-06-29 10:10
Novig5.71I 17.51%NM 17.01%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.99%3.0%2026-06-29 10:10