L’École des cotes

Jaqueline Cristian v Iva Jović

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 10:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jaqueline Cristian (Local)

Prévision 19.32%5.18cote équitable
EV +7.62%
Avantage +1.37%
Kelly +1.67%
Croissance +0.127%

avec la cote maximale 5.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.24%19.30%19.35%21.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.874.905.5722.73%20.55%20.41%17.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Iva Jović (Visiteur)

Prévision 80.68%1.24cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -2.65%
Kelly -15.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.85%80.70%80.65%82.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.171.181.2087.72%85.14%84.75%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle5.57I 17.95%NM 17.24%EV +7.62%E +1.37%K +1.67%G +0.127%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.76%EV -6.41%E -5.53%K -40.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +1.44%E +0.274%K +0.338%G +0.005%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.99%E -3.35%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-29 10:10
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +0.470%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:10
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +0.470%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.22%E -6.28%K -48.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -1.46%E -0.287%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -3.99%E -3.35%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 10:05
SportsBet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.46%E -0.287%K -0.357%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.41%E -5.53%K -40.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:10
1xBet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -2.43%E -0.481%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:10
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 09:58
MyBookie.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:08
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:08
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 10:10
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.39%E -0.679%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.41%E -5.53%K -40.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 10:06
BetOnline.ag4.98I 20.08%NM 19.29%EV -3.78%E -0.759%K -0.950%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.71%EV -3.99%E -3.35%K -21.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 10:06
Unibet (FR)4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -4.36%E -0.881%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:09
DraftKings4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -4.36%E -0.881%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:02
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:10
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:10
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
TABtouch4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:10
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
betPARX4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Bally Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 10:10
NordicBet4.89I 20.45%NM 19.17%EV -5.52%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.83%EV -6.41%E -5.53%K -40.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:10
Betsson4.89I 20.45%NM 19.17%EV -5.52%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.83%EV -6.41%E -5.53%K -40.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Marathon Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -6.29%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 09:59
Betr (AU)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.29%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:05
theScore Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.29%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 10:09
BoyleSports4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.19%E -2.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 10:09
Winamax (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:05
BetAnything4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:04
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.41%E -5.53%K -40.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Dabble (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.19%E -2.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 10:09
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 09:59
BetUS4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:00
LiveScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:10
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.41%E -5.53%K -40.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 10:08
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.22%E -6.28%K -48.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:09
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.22%E -6.28%K -48.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:09
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.22%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.22%E -6.28%K -48.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 10:09
PMU (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.19%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.41%E -5.53%K -40.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Fliff4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -9.19%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -8.03%E -7.04%K -57.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-29 10:09
GTbets4.67I 21.41%NM 20.17%EV -9.77%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.83%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:59
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.99%E -3.35%K -21.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 10:09
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.12%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Betclic (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -12.09%E -2.66%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -7.22%E -6.28%K -48.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-29 10:08
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.19%E -2.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:05
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.19%E -2.65%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 10:05
betfred_uk4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 10:00
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.05%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.61%E -4.79%K -32.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-29 10:09
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -14.99%E -3.41%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.80%E -4.07%K -26.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 10:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-06-29 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-06-29 10:10
ProphetX6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%1.6%2026-06-29 10:10
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%2.1%2026-06-29 10:10
Novig5.71I 17.51%NM 17.01%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.99%3.0%2026-06-29 10:10