Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 6.17
assuming max odds 1.17
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iryna Shymanovich (Local): 16.40%; Greet Minnen (Visit): 83.60%. For Iryna Shymanovich (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.60%EV +1.22%E +0.197%K +0.235%G +0.003% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.40%EV -4.70%E -4.12%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 09:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.57%E -0.262%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.37%E -5.69%K -53.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-24 09:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.57%E -0.262%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.37%E -5.69%K -53.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-24 09:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.85%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.70%E -4.12%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 09:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -6.49%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -6.37%E -5.69%K -53.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-24 09:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -8.13%E -1.45%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.71%EV -8.88%E -8.15%K -98.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-24 09:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.89%EV -8.79%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.11%EV -5.54%E -4.90%K -42.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-24 09:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.37%EV -10.27%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.63%EV -3.87%E -3.36%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-24 08:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.17%EV -10.59%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.83%EV -5.54%E -4.90%K -42.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-24 09:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -13.06%E -2.46%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -6.37%E -5.69%K -53.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-24 09:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -13.88%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.87%E -3.36%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-24 09:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -16.34%E -3.20%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -6.37%E -5.69%K -53.11%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-24 09:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -26.18%E -5.82%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -2.19%E -1.87%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-24 05:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 0.2% | 2026-06-24 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 0.2% | 2026-06-24 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-06-24 09:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 2.6% | 2026-06-24 09:50 |