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Fiona Crawley v Himeno Sakatsume
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fiona Crawley (Local)
assuming max odds 4.00
Himeno Sakatsume (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fiona Crawley (Local): 26.00%; Himeno Sakatsume (Visit): 74.00%. For Fiona Crawley (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -25.89%E -9.08%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV +3.59%E +2.57%K +8.99%G +0.323% | 6.5% | 2026-06-23 10:18 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV -9.77%E -2.81%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -0.105%E -0.078%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.32%EV -5.35%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.68%EV -3.81%E -2.93%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-23 06:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.81%E -2.93%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-23 10:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.55%E -3.52%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 07:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.55%E -3.52%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.02%E +1.00%K +1.34%G +0.054% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.50%E -6.00%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.49%E -0.663%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.50%E -6.00%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.15%EV -8.21%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.50%E -6.00%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.49%E -0.663%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.72%E -7.97%K -44.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -12.89%E -3.85%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30%EV -9.72%E -7.97%K -44.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-23 07:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 1.3% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 1.3% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |