Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.33
assuming max odds 1.67
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Erika Andreeva (Local): 41.91%; Kayla Day (Visit): 58.09%. For Erika Andreeva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.33, with an expected value of -2.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.36%E -1.01%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 10:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-24 02:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-24 11:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.62%E -1.57%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-23 20:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-24 02:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -4.45%E -1.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -2.98%E -1.79%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-24 08:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-23 20:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.71%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-24 02:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -9.06%E -4.18%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.33%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-24 11:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.90%E -4.61%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-24 02:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-06-24 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-06-24 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-06-24 11:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-06-24 11:00 |