L’École des cotes

Elina Svitolina v Daria Snigur

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Prévision 71.74%1.39cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.725%
Kelly -2.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.40%71.63%71.74%73.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.261.331.331.3879.37%75.31%75.19%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daria Snigur (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.26%3.54cote équitable
EV +1.74%
Avantage +0.484%
Kelly +0.669%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.68%28.37%28.26%31.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.253.303.6034.48%30.76%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.74%E +0.484%K +0.669%G +0.012%4.1%2026-06-30 16:08
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.328%E +0.092%K +0.128%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:09
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -0.238%E -0.067%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 16:04
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.09%E -0.310%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 16:09
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.09%E -0.310%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 16:09
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.09%E -0.310%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:09
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.09%E -0.310%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:09
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -1.93%E -0.557%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 16:10
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08%EV -3.87%E -2.89%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -2.22%E -0.640%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-30 16:09
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.50%E -0.724%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.50%E -0.724%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 16:05
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 16:05
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 16:09
BetAnything1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 16:10
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 16:09
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 16:09
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.67%EV -3.87%E -2.89%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.33%EV -4.19%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 16:10
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:09
MyBookie.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 71.95%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.05%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 16:09
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:02
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:06
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:06
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:09
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 16:09
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 16:05
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -9.61%E -7.63%K -36.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 16:09
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -5.89%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 16:10
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:09
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:09
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:09
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 16:09
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 16:09
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 16:10
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 16:09
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:09
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:09
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:05
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:09
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -8.89%E -7.00%K -32.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 16:09
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 16:04
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 16:09
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 16:09
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 16:04
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.98%E -3.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 16:10
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 16:08
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -12.67%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 16:09
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -12.67%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.00%E -0.725%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.00%E -0.725%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:09
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.00%E -0.725%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:10
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.00%E -0.725%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:10
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.00%E -0.725%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:09
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.00%E -0.725%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -3.15%E -2.34%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 16:09
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -2.44%E -1.79%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -16.63%E -5.64%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 16:10
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -2.44%E -1.79%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -16.63%E -5.64%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 16:09
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -2.44%E -1.79%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -16.63%E -5.64%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 16:09
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -2.44%E -1.79%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -16.63%E -5.64%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 16:10
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -2.44%E -1.79%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -16.63%E -5.64%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 16:10
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -2.44%E -1.79%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -16.63%E -5.64%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -16.63%E -5.64%K -8.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 16:10
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -3.87%E -2.89%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -18.04%E -6.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 16:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-06-30 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-06-30 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-06-30 16:10
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-06-30 16:10
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%2.8%2026-06-30 16:09
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63%3.1%2026-06-30 16:08
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%4.8%2026-06-30 16:10