La escuela de los momios

Elina Svitolina v Daria Snigur

Inicio: 2026-06-30 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Predicción 71.74%1.39momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.725%
Kelly -2.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.40%71.63%71.74%73.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.261.331.331.3879.37%75.31%75.19%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Daria Snigur (Visitante)

Predicción 28.26%3.54momio equitativo
EV +1.74%
Ventaja +0.484%
Kelly +0.669%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.68%28.37%28.26%31.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.253.303.6034.48%30.76%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.74%E +0.484%K +0.669%G +0.012%4.1%2026-06-30 16:08
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +0.328%E +0.092%K +0.128%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:09
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -0.238%E -0.067%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 16:04
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.09%E -0.310%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 16:09
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.09%E -0.310%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 16:09
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.09%E -0.310%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:09
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.09%E -0.310%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:09
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -1.93%E -0.557%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 16:10
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08%EV -3.87%E -2.89%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -2.22%E -0.640%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-30 16:09
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.50%E -0.724%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.50%E -0.724%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 16:05
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 16:05
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 16:09
BetAnything1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 16:10
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 16:09
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 16:09
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.67%EV -3.87%E -2.89%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.33%EV -4.19%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 16:10
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:09
MyBookie.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 71.95%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.05%EV -5.04%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 16:09
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:02
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:06
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:06
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 16:09
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 16:09
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 16:05
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -9.61%E -7.63%K -36.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.32%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 16:09
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -5.89%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 16:10
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:09
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:09
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:09
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 16:09
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.60%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 16:09
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 16:10
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 16:09
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:09
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:09
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:05
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:09
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -8.89%E -7.00%K -32.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 16:09
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 16:04
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 16:09
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 16:09
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.56%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 16:04
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.98%E -3.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 16:10
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.59%E -3.45%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 16:08
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -12.67%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 16:09
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV -5.30%E -4.02%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -12.67%E -4.10%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.00%E -0.725%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.00%E -0.725%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:09
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.00%E -0.725%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:10
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.00%E -0.725%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:10
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.00%E -0.725%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:09
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.00%E -0.725%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -3.15%E -2.34%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 16:09
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -2.44%E -1.79%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -16.63%E -5.64%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 16:10
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -2.44%E -1.79%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -16.63%E -5.64%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 16:09
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -2.44%E -1.79%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -16.63%E -5.64%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 16:09
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -2.44%E -1.79%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -16.63%E -5.64%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 16:10
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -2.44%E -1.79%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -16.63%E -5.64%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 16:10
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -2.44%E -1.79%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -16.63%E -5.64%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -6.74%E -5.18%K -22.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -16.63%E -5.64%K -8.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 16:10
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -3.87%E -2.89%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -18.04%E -6.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 16:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-06-30 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-06-30 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-06-30 16:10
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-06-30 16:10
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%2.8%2026-06-30 16:09
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63%3.1%2026-06-30 16:08
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%4.8%2026-06-30 16:10