Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.82
assuming max odds 1.32
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ekaterine Gorgodze (Local): 25.75%; Leolia Jeanjean (Visit): 74.25%. For Ekaterine Gorgodze (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.82, with an expected value of -1.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.24%EV -1.65%E -0.431%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.76%EV -4.21%E -3.27%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-24 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.16%E -0.569%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.21%E -3.27%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-24 08:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.45%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.96%E -3.87%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-24 15:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.74%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.96%E -3.87%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-24 15:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61%EV -6.28%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39%EV -1.99%E -1.50%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-24 08:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.71%EV -6.28%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.29%EV -6.44%E -5.11%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-24 15:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.44%E -5.11%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-24 08:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.19%EV -7.83%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.81%EV -5.70%E -4.49%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-24 13:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.44%E -5.11%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-24 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.18%E -5.75%K -28.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-24 08:38 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.89%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -8.67%E -7.05%K -37.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-24 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.58%EV -10.40%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -6.44%E -5.11%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-24 08:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -3.47%E -2.67%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-24 08:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04% | 0.0% | 2026-06-24 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-06-24 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-06-24 15:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-06-24 15:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-06-24 15:50 |