Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dominika Šalková v Iryna Shymanovich

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 10:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dominika Šalková (Local)

Prediction 62.26%1.61fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -3.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%61.85%62.03%63.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.531.541.5770.42%65.52%64.94%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iryna Shymanovich (Visit)

Prediction 37.74%2.65fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.572%
Kelly -0.928%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.96%38.15%37.97%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.442.6143.48%40.98%41.07%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dominika Šalková (Local): 62.26%; Iryna Shymanovich (Visit): 37.74%. For Iryna Shymanovich (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.61, with an expected value of -1.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.25%E -1.44%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -13.19%E -5.74%K -10.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 03:29
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -7.16%E -2.91%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 03:29
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.50%E -2.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 03:29
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.50%E -2.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.42%E -3.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 03:29
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.96%EV -1.49%E -0.572%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-23 06:49
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.17%E -4.27%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 03:28
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.61%E -4.41%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.53%E -3.07%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-23 03:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.02%EV -11.59%E -8.16%K -27.60%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.98%EV -8.66%E -3.58%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-23 07:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-06-23 07:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-06-23 07:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-06-23 07:30
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%2.7%2026-06-23 07:19