Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Despina Papamichail v Claire Liu

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 12:36 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Despina Papamichail (Local)

Prediction 13.85%7.22fair odd
EV -0.804%
Edge -0.112%
Kelly -0.131%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.42%13.89%13.74%15.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.906.626.567.1616.95%15.10%15.24%13.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Claire Liu (Visit)

Prediction 86.15%1.16fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -29.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.29%86.11%86.26%86.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.101.101.1294.34%91.16%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Despina Papamichail (Local): 13.85%; Claire Liu (Visit): 86.15%. For Despina Papamichail (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 7.16, with an expected value of -0.804%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯7.16I 13.97%NM 13.42%EV -0.804%E -0.112%K -0.131%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.58%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 12:30
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 12:30
ReBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 12:19
MyBookie.ag🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.48%E -0.961%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.10%E -5.60%K -67.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 12:29
theScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.48%E -0.961%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.10%E -5.60%K -67.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 12:30
NetBet (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -6.48%E -0.961%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -8.69%E -8.19%K -144.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-23 12:28
NordicBet🎯6.56I 15.24%NM 14.36%EV -9.12%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.64%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 12:29
GTbets🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -9.95%E -1.53%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.52%E -3.14%K -29.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 12:27
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.95%E -1.53%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -9.95%E -1.53%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.10%E -5.60%K -67.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-23 12:24
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.95%E -1.53%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.96%E -6.45%K -87.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-23 12:30
PlayUp🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.41%E -2.15%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.52%E -3.14%K -29.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 12:30
Unibet (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -18.26%E -3.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.29%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-23 12:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%0.7%2026-06-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%1.5%2026-06-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%1.5%2026-06-23 12:30
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%4.1%2026-06-23 12:30