The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Dalma Galfi v Francisca Jorge

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalma Galfi (Local)

Prediction 80.20%1.25fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -18.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.92%79.68%80.00%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.181.191.2086.96%84.75%84.39%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Francisca Jorge (Visit)

Prediction 19.80%5.05fair odd
EV -0.391%
Edge -0.078%
Kelly -0.097%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%20.32%20.00%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.614.605.0325.00%21.68%21.74%19.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalma Galfi (Local): 80.20%; Francisca Jorge (Visit): 19.80%. For Francisca Jorge (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.03, with an expected value of -0.391%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -20.79%E -5.20%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-23 03:29
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.87%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.13%EV -0.391%E -0.078%K -0.097%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 10:20
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.93%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 10:20
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.76%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.24%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:29
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.57%E -3.84%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.91%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 03:29
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.985%E -0.197%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 03:29
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.91%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 03:30
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.89%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-23 03:28
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -12.87%E -2.92%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-23 03:28
NetBet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.77%E -6.76%K -51.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -8.91%E -1.94%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-23 10:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-06-23 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-06-23 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-06-23 10:20
Smarkets◎1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%2.9%2026-06-23 10:20