Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.62
assuming max odds 2.56
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Claire Liu (Local): 60.38%; Elena Pridankina (Visit): 39.62%. For Elena Pridankina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -7.02%E -4.56%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV +1.43%E +0.559%K +0.918%G +0.013% | 4.0% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.39%E -2.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.91%E -2.04%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-25 10:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.70%E -2.40%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-25 10:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.00%E -2.51%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -6.10%E -2.57%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.10%E -2.57%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-25 10:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.49%E -2.75%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.60%E -2.91%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.89%E -2.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-25 10:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.81%E -3.72%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.89%E -2.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.89%E -2.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-25 10:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.05%EV -10.64%E -7.19%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.95%EV -8.08%E -3.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-25 10:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -2.79%E -1.73%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -9.27%E -4.05%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.19%E -1.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.83%E -5.83%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -8.23%E -5.41%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -12.83%E -5.83%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14% | 2.0% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |