Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.25
assuming max odds 1.38
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carole Monnet (Local): 27.85%; Tatiana Prozorova (Visit): 72.15%. For Carole Monnet (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.36%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +18.36%E +4.32%K +5.65%G +1.04% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -11.98%E -9.82%K -54.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.69%EV -3.64%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.31%EV -9.09%E -7.22%K -34.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.21%E -4.77%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.93%E -5.37%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.93%E -5.37%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-23 03:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.31%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.93%E -5.37%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.04%E -3.04%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-23 15:06 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -8.65%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.46%EV -5.48%E -4.19%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-23 03:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.93%E -5.37%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-23 03:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -9.76%E -3.01%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.13%EV -0.433%E -0.314%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-06-23 15:20 |