Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.02
assuming max odds 1.32
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cadence Brace (Local): 24.07%; Kayla Day (Visit): 75.93%. For Kayla Day (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.317. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.320, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.227%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 3.91I 25.58%NM 25.24%EV -5.88%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.76%EV +0.227%E +0.172%K +0.708%G +0.002% | 1.3% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -12.14%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.81%E -2.20%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.01%EV -3.24%E -0.805%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.99%EV -3.57%E -2.81%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.72%E -0.929%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.72%E -0.929%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -15.75%E -4.50%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.09%E -4.07%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.73%E -2.60%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.61%E -5.37%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-23 03:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.72%E -0.929%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-23 03:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.73%E -2.60%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.37%E -6.04%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-23 03:28 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.73%E -2.60%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -8.13%E -6.72%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-23 10:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 2.5% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |