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Bianca Andreescu v Polona Hercog
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bianca Andreescu (Local)
assuming max odds 1.29
Polona Hercog (Visit)
assuming max odds 4.64
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bianca Andreescu (Local): 77.79%; Polona Hercog (Visit): 22.21%. For Polona Hercog (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.18%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.82%EV +3.04%E +0.656%K +0.836%G +0.025% | 3.5% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.62%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.62%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.62%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-23 12:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-23 10:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -5.87%E -4.85%K -27.96%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -7.84%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-23 07:28 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.20%EV +0.352%E +0.273%K +1.22%G +0.004% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.80%EV -8.28%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -10.06%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-23 03:28 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.65%E -5.54%K -33.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-23 12:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.72%E -4.46%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-23 07:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-06-23 10:20 |