La scuola delle quote

Belinda Bencic v Xinyu Wang

Inizio: 2026-07-01 16:46 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Belinda Bencic (Casa)

Previsione 73.00%1.37quota equa
EV -2.18%
Vantaggio -1.63%
Kelly -6.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.96%72.95%73.07%74.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.261.301.301.3479.37%76.95%76.92%74.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Xinyu Wang (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.00%3.70quota equa
EV +5.04%
Vantaggio +1.30%
Kelly +1.74%
Crescita +0.088%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.05%27.05%26.93%29.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.463.463.8931.25%28.93%28.90%25.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.95%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 25.05%EV +5.04%E +1.30%K +1.74%G +0.088%2.6%2026-07-01 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +1.26%E +0.335%K +0.457%G +0.006%3.6%2026-07-01 16:40
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.26%E +0.335%K +0.457%G +0.006%4.2%2026-07-01 16:30
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.37%E -3.34%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -1.44%E -0.395%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 16:40
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -2.25%E -0.622%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:40
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -2.52%E -0.699%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 16:40
ReBet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.37%E -3.34%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:40
BetAnything1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:35
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 16:38
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 16:30
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.29%E -5.74%K -27.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 16:34
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.37%E -3.34%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.14%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 16:40
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.14%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.14%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:40
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.14%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 16:40
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.14%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 16:30
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.91%E -2.19%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 16:40
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:30
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:38
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:38
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:30
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:30
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:40
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:38
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:30
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:40
MyBookie.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 16:39
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.84%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 16:30
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.38%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:40
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.38%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:39
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 16:30
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 16:30
Dabble (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 16:40
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.37%E -3.34%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 16:30
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 16:30
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 16:30
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -8.02%E -6.37%K -30.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-01 16:40
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -2.18%E -1.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -9.27%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 16:30
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:40
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:40
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:40
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:40
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:40
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:40
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 16:40
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.91%E -2.19%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:30
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 16:40
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 16:40
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 16:30
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 16:40
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.91%E -2.19%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.24%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 16:30
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.24%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 16:36
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.24%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -12.24%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-01 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.59%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-01 16:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 74.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.47%-0.6%2026-07-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-07-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-07-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-07-01 16:40
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-07-01 16:40
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-07-01 16:40
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%2.9%2026-07-01 16:40