L’École des cotes

Belinda Bencic v Xinyu Wang

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-01 16:46 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Belinda Bencic (Local)

Prévision 73.00%1.37cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -6.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.96%72.95%73.07%74.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.261.301.301.3479.37%76.95%76.92%74.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Xinyu Wang (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.00%3.70cote équitable
EV +5.04%
Avantage +1.30%
Kelly +1.74%
Croissance +0.088%

avec la cote maximale 3.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.05%27.05%26.93%29.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.463.463.8931.25%28.93%28.90%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.95%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 25.05%EV +5.04%E +1.30%K +1.74%G +0.088%2.6%2026-07-01 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +1.26%E +0.335%K +0.457%G +0.006%3.6%2026-07-01 16:40
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.26%E +0.335%K +0.457%G +0.006%4.2%2026-07-01 16:30
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.37%E -3.34%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -1.44%E -0.395%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 16:40
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -2.25%E -0.622%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:40
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -2.52%E -0.699%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 16:40
ReBet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.37%E -3.34%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:40
BetAnything1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:35
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 16:38
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 16:30
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.29%E -5.74%K -27.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.79%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 16:34
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.37%E -3.34%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.14%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 16:40
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.14%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.14%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 16:40
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.14%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 16:40
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.14%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 16:30
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.91%E -2.19%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 16:40
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:30
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:38
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:38
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:30
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:30
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:40
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:38
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:30
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:40
MyBookie.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 16:39
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.84%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 16:30
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.38%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:40
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.38%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-01 16:39
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 16:30
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 16:30
Dabble (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 16:40
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.37%E -3.34%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 16:30
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 16:30
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 16:30
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -8.02%E -6.37%K -30.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-01 16:40
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -2.18%E -1.63%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -9.27%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 16:30
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:40
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:40
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:40
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:40
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:40
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.64%E -2.76%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:40
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -9.54%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 16:40
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.91%E -2.19%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 16:30
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 16:40
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 16:40
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 16:30
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.10%E -3.93%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 16:40
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.91%E -2.19%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.24%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 16:30
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.24%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 16:36
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.24%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -12.24%E -3.77%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-01 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -13.59%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-01 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 74.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.47%-0.6%2026-07-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-07-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-07-01 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-07-01 16:40
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-07-01 16:40
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-07-01 16:40
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%2.9%2026-07-01 16:40