Language:English
Belinda Bencic v Coco Gauff
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Belinda Bencic (Local)
Prediction 50.65%1.97fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.59%50.78%50.82%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.851.861.9358.82%54.09%53.76%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Coco Gauff (Visit)
Prediction 49.35%2.03fair odd
EV +3.64%
Edge +1.73%
Kelly +3.31%
Growth +0.120%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%49.22%49.18%50.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.922.1055.56%51.85%52.22%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belinda Bencic (Local): 50.65%; Coco Gauff (Visit): 49.35%. For Coco Gauff (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -13.90%E -8.17%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +3.64%E +1.73%K +3.31%G +0.120% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -9.84%E -5.53%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +0.676%E +0.332%K +0.650%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -9.84%E -5.53%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +0.676%E +0.332%K +0.650%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -10.86%E -6.17%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -0.311%E -0.154%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -10.86%E -6.17%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -0.311%E -0.154%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -3.77%E -1.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -1.30%E -0.649%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.83%E -4.91%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.30%E -0.649%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 18:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.83%E -4.91%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.30%E -0.649%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -10.35%E -5.85%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.30%E -0.649%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 19:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.36%E -6.49%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.30%E -0.649%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -2.28%E -1.15%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-05 19:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.30%E -3.41%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.28%E -1.15%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 19:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -2.75%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -3.27%E -1.67%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.27%E -1.67%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.77%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.77%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 18:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.77%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.30%E -3.41%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.77%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.30%E -3.41%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.77%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.30%E -3.41%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.77%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.83%E -4.91%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.77%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.83%E -4.91%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.77%E -1.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.26%E -2.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 16:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.75%E -2.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.75%E -2.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.75%E -2.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.75%E -2.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.75%E -2.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.30%E -3.41%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.75%E -2.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 19:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.31%E -4.00%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.75%E -2.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 19:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -8.33%E -4.60%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -4.75%E -2.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -2.25%E -1.16%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -5.25%E -2.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 19:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.25%E -2.73%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 19:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 19:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 07:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 19:37 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.27%E -2.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 18:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.79%E -3.11%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.31%E -4.00%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.31%E -4.00%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 19:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.83%E -4.91%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.83%E -4.91%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.83%E -4.91%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.83%E -4.91%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.74%E -3.00%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.98%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.23%E -3.28%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 19:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.23%E -3.28%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.23%E -3.28%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.75%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.73%E -3.56%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 19:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 19:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -5.79%E -3.11%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 19:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -5.79%E -3.11%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 19:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.30%E -3.41%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 19:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.31%E -4.00%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.22%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.71%E -4.12%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 19:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.71%E -4.12%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.31%E -4.00%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.71%E -4.12%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 19:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -8.33%E -4.60%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -7.71%E -4.12%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.82%EV -8.83%E -4.91%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -8.21%E -4.41%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.84%E -5.53%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.19%E -5.00%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -7.31%E -4.00%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -11.17%E -6.20%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-05 19:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.8% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 19:40 |