La scuola delle quote

Beatriz Haddad Maia v Maria Timofeeva

Inizio: 2026-06-30 14:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Beatriz Haddad Maia (Casa)

Previsione 31.34%3.19quota equa
EV +1.86%
Vantaggio +0.572%
Kelly +0.826%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.50%31.41%31.43%34.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.993.003.2536.36%33.46%33.33%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Maria Timofeeva (Trasferta)

Previsione 68.66%1.46quota equa
EV -1.13%
Vantaggio -0.786%
Kelly -2.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.63%68.59%68.57%70.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.381.381.4475.19%72.55%72.46%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.86%E +0.572%K +0.826%G +0.015%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 13:10
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.292%E +0.091%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:10
SportsBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -0.021%E -0.007%K -0.010%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 13:09
Betclic (FR)3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -1.90%E -0.608%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 13:00
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -2.21%E -0.710%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 13:10
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.84%E -0.917%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.84%E -0.917%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:10
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.84%E -0.917%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.84%E -0.917%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:04
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.84%E -0.917%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.84%E -0.917%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:07
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.84%E -0.917%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.31%E -5.42%K -20.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:04
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.84%E -0.917%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.68%E -6.53%K -26.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:09
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.19%E -2.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
ReBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:05
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 13:07
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:04
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:04
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:08
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:06
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.94%E -4.33%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:05
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.94%E -4.33%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:09
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:10
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:10
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:10
DraftKings2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -6.92%E -2.33%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -4.56%E -3.28%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 13:10
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -6.92%E -2.33%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -5.94%E -4.33%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:06
MyBookie.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -7.23%E -2.44%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 13:08
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:10
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:10
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:10
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:09
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:10
Bally Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:09
GTbets2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -7.86%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.90%EV -4.56%E -3.28%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:06
NordicBet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.33%EV -8.80%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.67%EV -4.56%E -3.28%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Dabble (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 13:10
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 13:09
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.31%E -5.42%K -20.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -8.00%E -5.97%K -23.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -10.05%E -3.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 13:10
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -10.05%E -3.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 13:09
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:07
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:07
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:10
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.31%E -5.42%K -20.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 13:10
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.13%E -0.786%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-06-30 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-06-30 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-06-30 13:10
Novig3.28I 30.49%NM 30.06%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.94%1.4%2026-06-30 13:10
ProphetX3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%1.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%2.8%2026-06-30 13:10