L’École des cotes

Beatriz Haddad Maia v Maria Timofeeva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Beatriz Haddad Maia (Local)

Prévision 31.34%3.19cote équitable
EV +1.86%
Avantage +0.572%
Kelly +0.826%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.50%31.41%31.43%34.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.993.003.2536.36%33.46%33.33%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Maria Timofeeva (Visiteur)

Prévision 68.66%1.46cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.786%
Kelly -2.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.63%68.59%68.57%70.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.381.381.4475.19%72.55%72.46%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.86%E +0.572%K +0.826%G +0.015%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 13:10
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.292%E +0.091%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:10
SportsBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -0.021%E -0.007%K -0.010%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 13:09
Betclic (FR)3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -1.90%E -0.608%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 13:00
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -2.21%E -0.710%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 13:10
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.84%E -0.917%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.84%E -0.917%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:10
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.84%E -0.917%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.84%E -0.917%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:04
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.84%E -0.917%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.84%E -0.917%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:07
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.84%E -0.917%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.31%E -5.42%K -20.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:04
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.84%E -0.917%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.68%E -6.53%K -26.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:09
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.19%E -2.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 13:09
ReBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:05
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 13:07
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:04
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:04
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 13:08
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:06
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:09
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.94%E -4.33%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:05
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.94%E -4.33%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:09
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:10
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:10
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 13:10
DraftKings2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -6.92%E -2.33%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -4.56%E -3.28%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 13:10
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -6.92%E -2.33%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -5.94%E -4.33%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 13:06
MyBookie.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -7.23%E -2.44%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 13:08
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:10
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:10
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:10
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:09
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:10
Bally Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 13:09
GTbets2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -7.86%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.90%EV -4.56%E -3.28%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 13:06
NordicBet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.33%EV -8.80%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.67%EV -4.56%E -3.28%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 13:09
Dabble (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 13:10
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 13:09
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 13:09
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.31%E -5.42%K -20.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -8.00%E -5.97%K -23.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -10.05%E -3.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 13:10
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -10.05%E -3.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 13:09
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:07
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 13:07
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 13:10
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.31%E -5.42%K -20.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 13:10
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.13%E -0.786%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-06-30 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%0.4%2026-06-30 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-06-30 13:09
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-06-30 13:10
Novig3.28I 30.49%NM 30.06%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.94%1.4%2026-06-30 13:10
ProphetX3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%1.8%2026-06-30 13:10
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%2.8%2026-06-30 13:10