Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.50
assuming max odds 1.62
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anouk Koevermans (Local): 39.68%; Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Visit): 60.32%. For Anouk Koevermans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.808%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.808%E -0.323%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.19%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-23 06:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.17%E -2.16%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 07:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -5.17%E -2.16%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.50%E -4.19%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-23 07:27 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-23 03:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -7.16%E -3.06%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-23 03:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.48%E -2.18%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -10.72%E -7.24%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 1.6% | 2026-06-23 06:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 1.6% | 2026-06-23 06:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 1.6% | 2026-06-23 06:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.3% | 2026-06-23 07:19 |