The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Anna-Lena Friedsam v Clervie Ngounoue

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna-Lena Friedsam (Local)

Prediction 41.92%2.39fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%43.00%41.92%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.152.3050.00%46.18%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clervie Ngounoue (Visit)

Prediction 58.08%1.72fair odd
EV +0.473%
Edge +0.273%
Kelly +0.648%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%57.00%58.08%58.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.671.671.7362.11%59.76%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna-Lena Friedsam (Local): 41.92%; Clervie Ngounoue (Visit): 58.08%. For Clervie Ngounoue (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.473%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -16.15%E -8.08%K -16.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +0.473%E +0.273%K +0.648%G +0.003%7.8%2026-06-23 15:20
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -8.19%E -3.74%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -0.689%E -0.403%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 15:20
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.87%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.43%E -1.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 15:20
NordicBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -10.28%E -4.81%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -2.43%E -1.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 15:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.96%E -5.70%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-23 15:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -12.80%E -6.15%K -11.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-23 15:20
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.59%E -2.16%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-23 15:20
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.51%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.50%E -4.03%K -10.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-06-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-06-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-06-23 15:20
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.5%2026-06-23 15:20