Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anastasia Gasanova v Emiliana Arango

Kickoff: 2026-06-29 18:14 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anastasia Gasanova (Local)

Prediction 48.53%2.06fair odd
EV +4.34%
Edge +2.02%
Kelly +3.78%
Growth +0.164%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%48.27%48.73%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.911.912.1557.80%52.23%52.36%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Emiliana Arango (Visit)

Prediction 51.47%1.94fair odd
EV +2.94%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +2.94%
Growth +0.086%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%51.73%51.27%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.851.872.0058.14%54.14%53.48%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Gasanova (Local): 48.53%; Emiliana Arango (Visit): 51.47%. For Anastasia Gasanova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV +4.34%E +2.02%K +3.78%G +0.164%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-29 18:11
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +1.92%E +0.912%K +1.74%G +0.033%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -0.510%E -0.249%K -0.486%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -11.47%E -6.67%K -15.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 18:10
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 18:11
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.90%E -5.03%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 18:00
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.90%E -5.03%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 18:10
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 18:10
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -10.44%E -6.00%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 18:10
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:11
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:11
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -4.88%E -2.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -9.42%E -5.35%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -5.36%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -9.42%E -5.35%K -12.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 18:11
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.85%E -3.01%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -1.70%E -0.888%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 18:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.85%E -3.01%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 18:10
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.85%E -3.01%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 18:11
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.85%E -3.01%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.85%E -3.01%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 18:11
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.33%E -3.28%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 18:11
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.82%E -3.55%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -3.75%E -2.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 18:00
Neds🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.82%E -3.55%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -3.75%E -2.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 18:01
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.82%E -3.55%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.27%E -2.29%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 18:00
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.70%E -0.888%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 18:04
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.70%E -0.888%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 18:01
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.70%E -0.888%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.70%E -0.888%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -2.72%E -1.44%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.30%E -3.82%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -7.79%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -0.151%E -0.078%K -0.161%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -7.79%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -0.666%E -0.345%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -7.79%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -1.70%E -0.888%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 18:10
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.21%E -1.16%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.79%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.21%E -1.16%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -7.79%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -11.47%E -6.67%K -15.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -8.28%E -4.38%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -3.24%E -1.72%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 18:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -8.76%E -4.66%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -1.18%E -0.615%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 18:09
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.76%E -4.66%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.70%E -0.888%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 18:09
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.76%E -4.66%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.70%E -0.888%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 18:00
Everygame🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.76%E -4.66%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.72%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -8.76%E -4.66%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -8.39%E -4.71%K -10.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 18:10
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -9.25%E -4.94%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -1.70%E -0.888%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 18:10
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.25%E -4.94%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -2.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 17:59
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.25%E -4.94%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -2.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -9.25%E -4.94%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.22%E -5.52%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.666%E -0.345%K -0.716%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.22%E -5.52%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.666%E -0.345%K -0.716%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 18:10
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.22%E -5.52%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.666%E -0.345%K -0.716%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 18:10
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.22%E -5.52%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.59%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.73%EV -10.70%E -5.82%K -12.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.27%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-29 18:07
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -11.19%E -6.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -1.18%E -0.615%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -11.67%E -6.41%K -14.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -1.70%E -0.888%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -11.67%E -6.41%K -14.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -1.70%E -0.888%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -12.64%E -7.02%K -15.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -1.18%E -0.615%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 18:10
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -12.64%E -7.02%K -15.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -3.24%E -1.72%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-29 18:10
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -14.10%E -7.97%K -18.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -3.75%E -2.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-29 18:11
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -16.04%E -9.27%K -21.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +2.94%E +1.47%K +2.94%G +0.086%7.8%2026-06-29 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-06-29 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-06-29 18:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-06-29 18:01
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-06-29 18:10
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-29 18:10
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-06-29 18:11
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%5.5%2026-06-29 18:10