L’École des cotes

Alycia Parks v Mananchaya Sawangkaew

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-01 10:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alycia Parks (Local)

Prévision 55.89%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.609%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.62%55.94%55.84%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.691.681.7761.73%59.17%59.52%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.11%2.27cote équitable
EV -0.749%
Avantage -0.333%
Kelly -0.599%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.86%44.06%44.16%46.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.25%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.08%E -0.609%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 09:29
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -1.08%E -0.609%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -8.25%E -3.97%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 09:29
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -1.64%E -0.930%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -6.92%E -3.28%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 10:00
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -1.64%E -0.930%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -6.92%E -3.28%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.20%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 09:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.20%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 10:00
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.20%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.25%E -3.97%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:00
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.20%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.25%E -3.97%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 09:29
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:09
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:19
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:50
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:50
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:09
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.78%E -5.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 09:19
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 10:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:50
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 09:50
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 08:39
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:00
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.48%E -3.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 09:08
Betr (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 10:00
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
ReBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.749%E -0.333%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 08:09
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.07%E -0.933%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 09:50
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -2.51%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:09
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -6.04%E -2.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -6.04%E -2.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 10:00
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 06:39
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 09:09
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:39
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 09:09
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -7.23%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -2.51%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 09:59
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -7.23%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 09:47
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.749%E -0.333%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 01:09
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:09
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:08
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:09
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 06:39
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 09:09
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.90%E -5.46%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 09:09
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.90%E -5.46%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 09:10
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.749%E -0.333%K -0.599%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 16:39
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 09:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-07-01 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-07-01 10:00
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-07-01 10:00
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-07-01 10:00