La escuela de los momios

Alycia Parks v Mananchaya Sawangkaew

Inicio: 2026-07-01 10:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alycia Parks (Local)

Predicción 55.89%1.79momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.609%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.62%55.94%55.84%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.681.7761.73%59.17%59.52%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mananchaya Sawangkaew (Visitante)

Predicción 44.11%2.27momio equitativo
EV -0.749%
Ventaja -0.333%
Kelly -0.599%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.86%44.06%44.16%46.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.25%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.08%E -0.609%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 09:29
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -1.08%E -0.609%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -8.25%E -3.97%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 09:29
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -1.64%E -0.930%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -6.92%E -3.28%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 10:00
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -1.64%E -0.930%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -6.92%E -3.28%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.20%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-01 09:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.20%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 10:00
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.20%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.25%E -3.97%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:00
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.20%E -1.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.25%E -3.97%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 10:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 09:29
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:09
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:19
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:50
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:50
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:09
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 09:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.31%E -1.92%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.78%E -5.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 09:19
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 10:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:50
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.43%E -2.59%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 09:50
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 08:39
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 10:00
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.48%E -3.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 10:00
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 09:08
Betr (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 10:00
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 09:10
ReBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.749%E -0.333%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 08:09
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.07%E -0.933%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 09:50
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -2.51%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 09:09
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 10:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -6.04%E -2.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 10:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -6.04%E -2.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 10:00
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 06:39
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 09:09
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:39
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.37%E -3.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 09:09
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -7.23%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -2.51%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 09:59
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -7.23%E -4.35%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -3.84%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 09:47
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.749%E -0.333%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 01:09
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:09
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:08
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:10
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.63%E -0.731%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:09
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 06:39
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 09:09
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.90%E -5.46%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 09:09
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.90%E -5.46%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 09:10
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.749%E -0.333%K -0.599%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 16:39
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-01 09:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-07-01 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-07-01 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-07-01 10:00
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-07-01 10:00
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-07-01 10:00
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-07-01 10:00
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-07-01 10:00