L’École des cotes

Alycia Parks v Alicia Dudeney

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alycia Parks (Local)

Prévision 75.67%1.32cote équitable
EV +17.29%
Avantage +11.16%
Kelly +31.44%
Croissance +5.44%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.20%73.94%75.44%79.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.361.391.5584.03%73.66%71.94%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alicia Dudeney (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.33%4.11cote équitable
EV +11.91%
Avantage +2.59%
Kelly +3.31%
Croissance +0.394%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.55%26.06%24.56%37.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.553.303.054.6039.22%30.29%32.73%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV +17.29%E +11.16%K +31.44%G +5.44%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -37.23%E -14.43%K -23.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 13:09
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV +17.29%E +11.16%K +31.44%G +5.44%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -37.96%E -14.89%K -24.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 13:19
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +16.53%E +10.74%K +30.62%G +5.06%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -37.96%E -14.89%K -24.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 13:11
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV +14.26%E +9.45%K +27.97%G +3.99%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 13:00
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.63%EV -34.07%E -12.57%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 13:10
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 13:00
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -36.26%E -13.84%K -22.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 13:00
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -36.26%E -13.84%K -22.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 13:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -36.75%E -14.13%K -22.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 13:00
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -36.75%E -14.13%K -22.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 13:01
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -37.96%E -14.89%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 13:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -37.96%E -14.89%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 13:00
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -37.96%E -14.89%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 13:00
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV +12.75%E +8.56%K +26.02%G +3.32%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -35.04%E -13.12%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 13:10
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV +11.99%E +8.10%K +24.99%G +3.00%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -35.77%E -13.55%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 13:00
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV +11.99%E +8.10%K +24.99%G +3.00%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -36.75%E -14.13%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 13:11
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV +11.99%E +8.10%K +24.99%G +3.00%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -36.75%E -14.13%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV +11.99%E +8.10%K +24.99%G +3.00%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -36.75%E -14.13%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:59
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:00
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:00
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:59
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:59
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:59
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:00
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:59
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:59
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:59
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV +9.72%E +6.71%K +21.61%G +2.10%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -36.02%E -13.69%K -22.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 13:00
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV +9.72%E +6.71%K +21.61%G +2.10%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -36.75%E -14.13%K -22.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 13:06
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV +0.643%E +0.483%K +1.95%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -17.28%E -5.08%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 13:19
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.12%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 13:20
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.65%E -3.69%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.12%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 13:20
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.69%E -0.671%K -0.895%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 13:20
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.69%E -0.671%K -0.895%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 13:20
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 13:19
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.77%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:20
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.77%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:20
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.77%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.77%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.17%E -4.97%K -25.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +0.964%E +0.232%K +0.306%G +0.003%4.7%2026-06-29 13:20
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.92%E -5.63%K -30.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +3.40%E +0.799%K +1.05%G +0.035%4.8%2026-06-29 13:20
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 75.25%EV -6.92%E -5.63%K -30.11%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.75%EV -9.01%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 13:20
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.10%EV -6.92%E -5.63%K -30.11%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 24.90%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.43%EV -6.92%E -5.63%K -30.11%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.57%EV -12.90%E -3.60%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.40%E +0.799%K +1.05%G +0.035%5.5%2026-06-29 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.18%E +0.519%K +0.681%G +0.015%5.8%2026-06-29 13:20
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.69%E -0.671%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 13:20
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.69%E -0.671%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 13:20
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.69%E -0.671%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 13:20
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.77%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -11.20%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -8.44%E -6.97%K -40.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.85%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -9.19%E -7.66%K -45.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +7.05%E +1.60%K +2.07%G +0.146%6.1%2026-06-29 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -9.19%E -7.66%K -45.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +7.05%E +1.60%K +2.07%G +0.146%6.1%2026-06-29 13:20
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -9.19%E -7.66%K -45.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +5.34%E +1.23%K +1.60%G +0.086%6.4%2026-06-29 13:21
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -9.19%E -7.66%K -45.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +3.40%E +0.799%K +1.05%G +0.035%6.9%2026-06-29 13:20
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.19%E -7.66%K -45.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.69%E -0.671%K -0.895%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 13:20
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.19%E -7.66%K -45.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.69%E -0.671%K -0.895%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 13:20
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -9.95%E -8.36%K -52.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +11.91%E +2.59%K +3.31%G +0.394%5.8%2026-06-29 13:20
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -9.95%E -8.36%K -52.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV +4.61%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.064%7.3%2026-06-29 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -9.95%E -8.36%K -52.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV +4.61%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.064%7.3%2026-06-29 13:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-06-29 13:20
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-06-29 13:20
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-06-29 13:21
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 77.93%4.45I 22.47%NM 22.07%1.8%2026-06-29 13:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-06-29 13:20
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%6.3%2026-06-29 13:21