La escuela de los momios

Alycia Parks v Alicia Dudeney

Inicio: 2026-06-29 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alycia Parks (Local)

Predicción 75.67%1.32momio equitativo
EV +17.29%
Ventaja +11.16%
Kelly +31.44%
Crecimiento +5.44%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.20%73.94%75.44%79.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.361.391.5584.03%73.66%71.94%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alicia Dudeney (Visitante)

Predicción 24.33%4.11momio equitativo
EV +11.91%
Ventaja +2.59%
Kelly +3.31%
Crecimiento +0.394%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.55%26.06%24.56%37.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.553.303.054.6039.22%30.29%32.73%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV +17.29%E +11.16%K +31.44%G +5.44%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -37.23%E -14.43%K -23.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-29 13:09
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV +17.29%E +11.16%K +31.44%G +5.44%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -37.96%E -14.89%K -24.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-29 13:19
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +16.53%E +10.74%K +30.62%G +5.06%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -37.96%E -14.89%K -24.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 13:11
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV +14.26%E +9.45%K +27.97%G +3.99%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 13:00
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.63%EV -34.07%E -12.57%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 13:10
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 13:00
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -36.26%E -13.84%K -22.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 13:00
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -36.26%E -13.84%K -22.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 13:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -36.75%E -14.13%K -22.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 13:00
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -36.75%E -14.13%K -22.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 13:01
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -37.96%E -14.89%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 13:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -37.96%E -14.89%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 13:00
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV +13.51%E +9.00%K +27.01%G +3.65%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -37.96%E -14.89%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 13:00
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV +12.75%E +8.56%K +26.02%G +3.32%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -35.04%E -13.12%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 13:10
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV +11.99%E +8.10%K +24.99%G +3.00%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -35.77%E -13.55%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 13:00
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV +11.99%E +8.10%K +24.99%G +3.00%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -36.75%E -14.13%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 13:11
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV +11.99%E +8.10%K +24.99%G +3.00%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -36.75%E -14.13%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV +11.99%E +8.10%K +24.99%G +3.00%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -36.75%E -14.13%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 12:59
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:00
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:00
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:00
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:59
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:59
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:59
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 13:00
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:59
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:59
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV +11.24%E +7.64%K +23.91%G +2.69%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -35.53%E -13.41%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 12:59
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV +9.72%E +6.71%K +21.61%G +2.10%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -36.02%E -13.69%K -22.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 13:00
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV +9.72%E +6.71%K +21.61%G +2.10%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -36.75%E -14.13%K -22.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 13:06
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV +0.643%E +0.483%K +1.95%G +0.013%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -17.28%E -5.08%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 13:19
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.12%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 13:20
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.65%E -3.69%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.12%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 13:20
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.69%E -0.671%K -0.895%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 13:20
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.69%E -0.671%K -0.895%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 13:20
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 13:19
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.77%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:20
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.77%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:20
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.77%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.77%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.17%E -4.97%K -25.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +0.964%E +0.232%K +0.306%G +0.003%4.7%2026-06-29 13:20
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.92%E -5.63%K -30.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +3.40%E +0.799%K +1.05%G +0.035%4.8%2026-06-29 13:20
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 75.25%EV -6.92%E -5.63%K -30.11%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.75%EV -9.01%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 13:20
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.10%EV -6.92%E -5.63%K -30.11%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 24.90%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.43%EV -6.92%E -5.63%K -30.11%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.57%EV -12.90%E -3.60%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.40%E +0.799%K +1.05%G +0.035%5.5%2026-06-29 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.18%E +0.519%K +0.681%G +0.015%5.8%2026-06-29 13:20
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.69%E -0.671%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 13:20
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.69%E -0.671%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 13:20
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.69%E -0.671%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-29 13:20
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.77%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-29 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -11.20%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-29 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -8.44%E -6.97%K -40.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.85%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-29 13:20
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -9.19%E -7.66%K -45.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +7.05%E +1.60%K +2.07%G +0.146%6.1%2026-06-29 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -9.19%E -7.66%K -45.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +7.05%E +1.60%K +2.07%G +0.146%6.1%2026-06-29 13:20
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -9.19%E -7.66%K -45.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +5.34%E +1.23%K +1.60%G +0.086%6.4%2026-06-29 13:21
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -9.19%E -7.66%K -45.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +3.40%E +0.799%K +1.05%G +0.035%6.9%2026-06-29 13:20
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.19%E -7.66%K -45.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.69%E -0.671%K -0.895%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 13:20
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.19%E -7.66%K -45.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.69%E -0.671%K -0.895%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 13:20
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -9.95%E -8.36%K -52.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +11.91%E +2.59%K +3.31%G +0.394%5.8%2026-06-29 13:20
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -9.95%E -8.36%K -52.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV +4.61%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.064%7.3%2026-06-29 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -9.95%E -8.36%K -52.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV +4.61%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.064%7.3%2026-06-29 13:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-29 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-06-29 13:20
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-06-29 13:20
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-06-29 13:21
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 77.93%4.45I 22.47%NM 22.07%1.8%2026-06-29 13:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-06-29 13:20
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%6.3%2026-06-29 13:21